0xf239d3d01e1e9a1d17f455f27feffbdaa8c13627
0xf239d3d01e1e9a1d17f455f27feffbdaa8c13627
Wallet digest
Activity score
74/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
18
Open notional
$273.03
Total PnL
$-154.17
Realised
$-28.57
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 18- YES
Cap FDV above $150M one day after launch?
205 shares @ 39.3¢·now 65.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$133.25
$52.76
- YES
Will Arc launch a token by June 30 2026?
149 shares @ 31.4¢·now 18.4¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$27.57
$-19.40
- YES
Will Nansen launch a token by September 30, 2026?
107 shares @ 37.5¢·now 14.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$15.47
$-24.53
- YES
Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 450k and 500k?
42 shares @ 23.8¢·now 35.9¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$15.11
$5.11
- YES
Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 550k and 600k?
143 shares @ 3.5¢·now 10.4¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$14.86
$9.86
- YES
Will Tempo launch a token by December 31 2026?
52 shares @ 28.9¢·now 25.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$13.21
$-1.79
- YES
Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 500k and 550k?
33 shares @ 15.2¢·now 36.1¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$11.87
$6.87
- YES
Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
125 shares @ 8.0¢·now 7.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$9.38
$-0.63
- NO
Cambria FDV above $20M one day after launch?
24 shares @ 42.5¢·now 36.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$8.59
$-1.41
- YES
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
105 shares @ 9.5¢·now 7.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$7.52
$-2.48
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?$0.00May 18, 07:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets in May 2026?$0.00May 18, 07:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets in May 2026?$0.00May 18, 07:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?$0.00May 18, 07:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 14 to May 16, 2026?$0.00May 17, 05:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 550k and 600k?$5.24May 15, 15:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 500k and 550k?$5.21May 15, 15:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 450k and 500k?$10.38May 15, 15:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 400k and 450k?$10.42May 15, 15:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$20.44May 15, 15:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill Cerebras' market cap be between $50B and $60B at market close on IPO day?$0.00May 15, 15:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill Cerebras not IPO before July 2026?$0.00May 15, 15:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 14 to May 16, 2026?$62.59May 15, 15:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Cerebras' market cap be between $50B and $60B at market close on IPO day?$10.37May 14, 17:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Cerebras not IPO before July 2026?$10.40May 14, 17:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets in May 2026?$5.25May 14, 14:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets in May 2026?$5.24May 14, 14:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?$5.25May 14, 14:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?$10.44May 14, 14:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$10.44May 14, 14:29 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $11.73
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 25, 17:13 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 07:27 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".