Hopeful-Mug
0xf285f0cc521a22477bca826fe5f471c516ca1b96
Wallet digest
Activity score
89/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$39.4K
Total PnL
$-814.14
Realised
$66.66
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
31667 shares @ 87.0¢·now 88.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$28.0K
$475.00
- YES
Will Civil Contract win the most seats in the 2026 Armenian National Assembly election?
5964 shares @ 92.3¢·now 91.5¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$5.5K
$-49.58
- YES
Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
13025 shares @ 15.8¢·now 30.7¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$4.0K
$1.9K
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
11000 shares @ 47.0¢·now 17.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.9K
$-3.2K
Recent activity
- YIELD$3.07May 18, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$3.07May 17, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$3.07May 16, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Civil Contract win the most seats in the 2026 Armenian National Assembly election?$1.1KMay 15, 12:07 UTC
- YIELD$3.07May 15, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$3.07May 14, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$3.07May 13, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Civil Contract win the most seats in the 2026 Armenian National Assembly election?$33.29May 12, 20:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Civil Contract win the most seats in the 2026 Armenian National Assembly election?$27.60May 12, 20:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Civil Contract win the most seats in the 2026 Armenian National Assembly election?$11.50May 12, 20:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Civil Contract win the most seats in the 2026 Armenian National Assembly election?$23.00May 12, 18:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Civil Contract win the most seats in the 2026 Armenian National Assembly election?$130.64May 12, 02:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Civil Contract win the most seats in the 2026 Armenian National Assembly election?$598.00May 12, 02:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Civil Contract win the most seats in the 2026 Armenian National Assembly election?$92.00May 12, 02:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Civil Contract win the most seats in the 2026 Armenian National Assembly election?$27.60May 12, 02:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Civil Contract win the most seats in the 2026 Armenian National Assembly election?$92.00May 12, 02:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Civil Contract win the most seats in the 2026 Armenian National Assembly election?$67.59May 12, 02:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Civil Contract win the most seats in the 2026 Armenian National Assembly election?$1.41May 12, 02:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Civil Contract win the most seats in the 2026 Armenian National Assembly election?$26.91May 12, 02:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Civil Contract win the most seats in the 2026 Armenian National Assembly election?$73.60May 12, 02:57 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $84.03
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 6, 16:49 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".