Mellow-Fork
0xf2aa8381a08ec33467fbcdd0843aa31cb8d521fb
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
11
Open notional
$6.4K
Total PnL
$-653.67
Realised
$92.82
Win rate
100%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- NO
Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?
2245 shares @ 64.0¢·now 89.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.0K
$561.50
- YES
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?
3463 shares @ 24.4¢·now 38.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$1.3K
$486.65
- NO
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?
3500 shares @ 37.5¢·now 26.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$927.52
$-384.49
- NO
Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?
2859 shares @ 21.4¢·now 18.7¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$534.67
$-77.65
- YES
Will Anthropic have the #3 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?
441 shares @ 82.0¢·now 89.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$394.79
$33.08
- YES
Will Google have the #1 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?
5171 shares @ 17.8¢·now 7.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$387.82
$-532.10
- YES
Will Google have the third best AI model at the end of May 2026?
1144 shares @ 39.1¢·now 29.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$337.47
$-109.29
- YES
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
5154 shares @ 20.0¢·now 6.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$309.23
$-721.53
- YES
Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?
1209 shares @ 6.8¢·now 6.3¢·exp Sep 20, 2026$76.16
$-6.33
- NO
Will a dozen eggs cost between $3.00–$3.25 in May?
70 shares @ 95.0¢·now 98.6¢·exp Jun 10, 2026$69.02
$2.52
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?$143.07May 17, 18:59 UTC
- TRADESELLSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?$161.20May 17, 18:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill Greece be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?$0.00May 17, 18:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the third best AI model at the end of May 2026?$20.56May 17, 18:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill a dozen eggs cost between $3.00–$3.25 in May?$20.58May 17, 18:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the third best AI model at the end of May 2026?$17.32May 17, 18:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYGemini 3.5 released by May 31?$605.28May 17, 17:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?$576.34May 17, 02:21 UTC
- REWARD$3.92May 17, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Greece be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?$6.60May 16, 22:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Greece be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?$13.20May 16, 22:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Greece be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?$19.76May 16, 22:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Greece be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?$1.15May 16, 22:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?$260.66May 16, 22:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Greece be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?$260.70May 16, 22:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Greece be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?$161.08May 16, 20:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Greece be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?$438.23May 16, 20:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYGemini 3.5 released by May 31?$9.30May 16, 08:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYGemini 3.5 released by May 31?$16.10May 16, 06:55 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$9.18May 16, 00:45 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $83.73
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 15, 14:26 UTC
- Last active
- May 17, 18:59 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".