Burdensome-Kielbasa
0xf2ab1d55462e3417a4c6e91affbe787d9c3a97a4
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
29
Open notional
$43.5K
Total PnL
$1.5K
Realised
$1.1K
Win rate
88%
17 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 29- NO
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
5000 shares @ 91.6¢·now 92.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.6K
$59.83
- NO
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
4800 shares @ 93.0¢·now 92.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.4K
$-19.88
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?
4000 shares @ 98.4¢·now 98.6¢·exp May 31, 2026$3.9K
$5.00
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
3902 shares @ 92.7¢·now 95.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$3.7K
$109.70
- NO
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
4000 shares @ 88.2¢·now 88.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.5K
$11.83
- NO
Any country withdraws from EU before 2027?
3000 shares @ 92.9¢·now 94.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.8K
$48.01
- NO
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?
2490 shares @ 96.8¢·now 98.2¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$2.4K
$32.58
- NO
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?
2168 shares @ 98.3¢·now 99.4¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$2.2K
$24.17
- NO
Xi Jinping out before 2027?
1800 shares @ 92.4¢·now 93.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.7K
$17.10
- NO
Florentino Perez out as Real Madrid president by December 31, 2026?
1786 shares @ 84.3¢·now 86.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$1.5K
$38.51
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by May 31?$2.0KMay 18, 04:25 UTC
- TRADESELLErdoğan out by December 31, 2026?$1.3KMay 18, 03:48 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$1.02May 18, 00:45 UTC
- YIELD$1.28May 18, 00:15 UTC
- REWARD$10.93May 18, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?$589.20May 17, 23:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?$127.87May 17, 22:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?$8.07May 17, 22:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?$15.28May 17, 22:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?$587.40May 17, 21:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?$435.57May 17, 21:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?$1.2KMay 17, 19:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?$585.60May 17, 13:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?$453.43May 17, 13:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?$44.45May 17, 13:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?$88.91May 17, 13:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?$585.60May 17, 12:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$2.2KMay 17, 02:37 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$1.74May 17, 00:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?$646.38May 17, 00:35 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $739.83
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 14, 11:37 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 04:25 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 17 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".