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0xf2b05d854e0af18e70b76e96534e2e7f7a04b26b
Wallet digest
Activity score
85/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
19
Open notional
$22.1K
Total PnL
$-21.2K
Realised
$-832.40
Win rate
75%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 19- NO
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?
17276 shares @ 79.0¢·now 77.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$13.4K
$-250.85
- NO
Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?
3192 shares @ 96.1¢·now 98.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$3.1K
$70.83
- NO
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?
3000 shares @ 95.0¢·now 95.3¢·exp May 31, 2026$2.9K
$7.50
- NO
Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026?
2406 shares @ 77.6¢·now 77.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.9K
$-13.89
- NO
Will Pete Hegseth enter Iran by June 30?
379 shares @ 95.0¢·now 98.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$372.14
$12.31
- NO
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
268 shares @ 93.0¢·now 90.5¢·exp Oct 10, 2026$242.36
$-6.70
- NO
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
104 shares @ 95.9¢·now 98.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$102.19
$2.19
- NO
Iran leadership change by May 31?
100 shares @ 94.0¢·now 93.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$93.50
$-0.50
- NO
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2026?
97 shares @ 86.0¢·now 89.5¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$86.99
$3.40
- NO
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
15651 shares @ 92.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 7, 2026$0.00
$-14.5K
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Pete Hegseth enter Iran by June 30?$1.00May 17, 13:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Pete Hegseth enter Iran by June 30?$11.36May 15, 17:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Pete Hegseth enter Iran by June 30?$12.10May 15, 16:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Pete Hegseth enter Iran by June 30?$23.22May 15, 16:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Pete Hegseth enter Iran by June 30?$8.70May 15, 15:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Pete Hegseth enter Iran by June 30?$22.00May 15, 15:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Pete Hegseth enter Iran by June 30?$32.18May 15, 15:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Pete Hegseth enter Iran by June 30?$18.89May 15, 15:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?$4.70May 15, 14:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?$1.10May 15, 14:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?$1.10May 15, 14:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?$1.10May 15, 14:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?$400.17May 15, 14:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Pete Hegseth enter Iran by June 30?$1.00May 15, 14:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?$202.00May 15, 12:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?$13.42May 15, 10:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Pete Hegseth enter Iran by June 30?$29.48May 15, 09:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?$6.00May 15, 07:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?$5.00May 15, 02:45 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$2.86May 15, 00:45 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $200.15
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 8, 08:59 UTC
- Last active
- May 17, 13:51 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".