Classic-Thickness
0xf2b4e9237484d9d9d6df4ad9a013a8891f7b1c23
Wallet digest
Activity score
61/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$51.45
Total PnL
$-258.54
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Macron out by June 30, 2026?
3787 shares @ 5.5¢·now 1.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$49.24
$-160.76
- YES
French election called by June 30, 2026?
77 shares @ 26.1¢·now 1.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.34
$-18.66
- YES
Lecornu out as French PM by June 30, 2026?
43 shares @ 46.0¢·now 2.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.87
$-19.13
- YES
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?
400 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
US strikes Iran by January 11, 2026?
222 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall by January 31?
105 shares @ 19.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by January 11, 2026?$20.00Jan 10, 23:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by January 31?$20.00Jan 10, 23:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYMacron out by June 30, 2026?$200.00Jan 10, 09:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYMacron out by June 30, 2026?$10.00Jan 10, 09:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYFrench election called by June 30, 2026?$20.00Jan 9, 19:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYLecornu out as French PM by June 30, 2026?$20.00Jan 9, 19:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?$20.00Dec 9, 09:09 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 7
- Avg trade size
- $44.29
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 9, 09:09 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 10, 23:05 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".