Arctic-Puppy
0xf30d72bfe55db2373bb82b0d97035e4f638e0470
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$89.76
Total PnL
$-10.2K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Cap FDV above $250M one day after launch?
210 shares @ 31.6¢·now 27.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$57.79
$-8.66
- YES
Cap FDV above $150M one day after launch?
35 shares @ 60.9¢·now 66.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$22.91
$1.78
- YES
Cap FDV above $500M one day after launch?
85 shares @ 8.6¢·now 10.7¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$9.05
$1.77
- NO
US bank failure by January 31?
6286 shares @ 95.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-6.0K
- NO
Maduro out by March 31, 2026?
3366 shares @ 59.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.0K
- NO
Maduro out by January 31, 2026?
2000 shares @ 95.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.9K
- YES
Will Tesla (TSLA) beat quarterly earnings?
300 shares @ 79.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 22, 2025$0.00
$-237.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYCap FDV above $150M one day after launch?$8.33May 18, 05:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYCap FDV above $500M one day after launch?$0.67May 16, 02:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYCap FDV above $150M one day after launch?$0.20May 15, 02:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYCap FDV above $250M one day after launch?$1.70May 15, 02:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYCap FDV above $150M one day after launch?$7.50May 14, 23:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYCap FDV above $500M one day after launch?$7.05May 14, 22:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYCap FDV above $250M one day after launch?$67.85May 14, 22:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYCap FDV above $150M one day after launch?$0.52May 14, 22:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYCap FDV above $150M one day after launch?$4.77May 14, 22:26 UTC
- TRADESELLSpain snap election called by June 30, 2026?$110.79Feb 25, 13:35 UTC
- TRADESELLMegaETH market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?$370.12Feb 25, 13:35 UTC
- TRADESELLMegaETH market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?$3.0KFeb 25, 13:35 UTC
- REDEEMKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?$1.0KFeb 5, 11:06 UTC
- REDEEMRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?$2.4KFeb 5, 11:06 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?$3.7KFeb 5, 11:06 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael nuclear weapon use against Iran by January 31?$16.0KFeb 5, 11:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYMegaETH market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?$2.0KJan 30, 10:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?$623.66Jan 30, 10:30 UTC
- TRADESELLRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?$45.39Jan 22, 16:12 UTC
- TRADESELLRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?$717.75Jan 22, 16:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $911.68
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 2, 14:11 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 05:31 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".