Complicated-Rake
0xf34721d5bcd69d04f7f1968f04f6743f3dfbd8b2
Wallet digest
Activity score
90/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
16
Open notional
$88.46
Total PnL
$-89.60
Realised
$1.03
Win rate
100%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 16- YES
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Brazil" before 2027?
338 shares @ 24.2¢·now 18.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$62.61
$-19.39
- YES
Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
502 shares @ 7.8¢·now 5.1¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$25.85
$-13.15
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET
150 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 6, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET
63 shares @ 17.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 11, 2026$0.00
$-10.94
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET
53 shares @ 28.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 11, 2026$0.00
$-14.85
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET
39 shares @ 7.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 6, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET
28 shares @ 7.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 6, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET
26 shares @ 4.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 6, 2026$0.00
$-1.17
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET
24 shares @ 12.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 6, 2026$0.00
$-2.99
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET
22 shares @ 10.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 6, 2026$0.00
$-2.30
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$18.00Apr 27, 11:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$1.00Apr 25, 14:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$20.00Apr 22, 21:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYU.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Brazil" before 2027?$2.00Feb 20, 17:40 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$0.01Feb 12, 00:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET$15.00Feb 11, 14:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET$1.00Feb 11, 13:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?$17.78Feb 11, 13:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET$7.00Feb 11, 13:46 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET$0.97Feb 11, 13:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET$1.00Feb 11, 13:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET$1.00Feb 11, 13:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET$1.00Feb 11, 13:31 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET$6.60Feb 11, 13:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET$3.50Feb 11, 13:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET$2.00Feb 11, 13:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET$1.00Feb 11, 13:08 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET$1.33Feb 11, 13:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET$1.00Feb 11, 13:05 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET$2.07Feb 11, 13:01 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $3.88
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 6, 18:53 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 27, 11:46 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".