0xf36861adb4a2d9e52a58de8860dbccb6237dcfb1
0xf36861adb4a2d9e52a58de8860dbccb6237dcfb1
Wallet digest
Activity score
83/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
32
Open notional
$36.90
Total PnL
$1.66
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 32- YES
Will "Lazarus" win Best Original Anime at the 2026 Crunchyroll Anime Awards?
14 shares @ 7.0¢·now 29.5¢·exp May 23, 2026$4.21
$3.21
- YES
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
9 shares @ 39.3¢·now 36.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$3.15
$-0.27
- YES
Will Harry Kane record the most goal contributions at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
14 shares @ 7.0¢·now 20.5¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$2.93
$1.93
- YES
Will Cleveland Guardians win the 2026 AL Central title?
6 shares @ 17.0¢·now 44.5¢·exp Oct 11, 2026$2.62
$1.62
- YES
Ethereal FDV above $800M one day after launch?
8 shares @ 12.7¢·now 16.9¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$1.33
$0.33
- YES
Sanae Takaichi out as Prime Minister of Japan in 2026?
9 shares @ 11.0¢·now 15.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.31
$0.35
- YES
Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa out as leader of Bahrain by December 31, 2026?
10 shares @ 10.0¢·now 12.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.25
$0.25
- NO
Will Axel Kicillof win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?
2 shares @ 53.0¢·now 65.5¢·exp Oct 24, 2027$1.24
$0.24
- YES
Will Burgos CF achieve promotion from LALIGA 2 to LALIGA for the 2026-27 season?
14 shares @ 7.0¢·now 8.5¢·exp May 25, 2026$1.21
$0.21
- YES
Romanian PM Bolojan out by June 30?
1 shares @ 73.0¢·now 87.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.19
$0.19
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on May 18?$4.10May 17, 23:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Senate pass a reconciliation bill by May 15?$0.00May 17, 22:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on May 15?$0.00May 17, 22:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on May 15?$0.00May 17, 22:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Helsinki be 18°C on May 16?$0.00May 17, 22:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Helsinki be 18°C on May 16?$0.00May 17, 22:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on May 17?$0.00May 17, 22:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on May 17?$0.00May 17, 22:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Panama City be 33°C or higher on May 17?$0.00May 17, 22:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Panama City be 33°C or higher on May 17?$24.79May 17, 22:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Cape Town be 21°C on May 16?$0.00May 17, 22:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Cape Town be 21°C on May 16?$0.00May 17, 22:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on May 17?$4.10May 17, 03:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Panama City be 33°C or higher on May 17?$4.09May 17, 03:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Warsaw be 19°C or higher on May 18?$4.06May 17, 03:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C or higher on May 18?$4.06May 17, 03:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on May 18?$4.11May 17, 03:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on May 17?$4.11May 17, 03:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Warsaw be 19°C or higher on May 18?$4.06May 17, 01:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Panama City be 33°C or higher on May 17?$4.08May 17, 01:27 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $7.12
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 14, 20:02 UTC
- Last active
- May 17, 23:23 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".