Outgoing-Yard
0xf3702c3eca3afbcc8e4cb3505d52d6be6a1c2be4
Wallet digest
Activity score
85/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$123.37
Total PnL
$-1.55
Realised
$-0.13
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Germany win on 2026-06-14?
83 shares @ 92.0¢·now 92.5¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$76.42
$0.41
- YES
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?
36 shares @ 90.3¢·now 90.5¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$32.84
$0.06
- YES
Will France advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
15 shares @ 96.5¢·now 97.3¢·exp Jun 28, 2026$14.11
$0.11
- YES
Will Trump say "Piggy" during the 2026 State of the Union address?
25 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 24, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- CINCINNATI REDS
Washington Nationals vs. Cincinnati Reds
1 shares @ 75.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 20, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill France advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$14.01May 16, 12:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Munich be 13°C on May 14?$14.00May 15, 12:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Munich be 13°C on May 14?$4.69May 14, 12:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Germany win on 2026-06-14?$3.85May 14, 12:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWashington Nationals vs. Cincinnati Reds$1.01May 13, 23:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?$1.88May 13, 22:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win on 2026-06-15?$32.88May 11, 19:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Germany win on 2026-06-14?$80.19May 11, 19:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Transgender" this week? (March 1)$0.00May 11, 18:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-11?$0.00May 11, 18:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Boston Celtics win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?$0.00May 11, 18:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the New York Knicks win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?$67.31May 11, 00:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Detroit Pistons win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?$34.57May 11, 00:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Cleveland Cavaliers win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?$11.12May 11, 00:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-11?$1.00Mar 11, 09:56 UTC
- REDEEMAnother US bank failure by February 28?$1.04Mar 4, 08:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Transgender" this week? (March 1)$19.90Feb 27, 10:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?$19.94Feb 27, 10:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?$14.54Feb 27, 07:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?$14.54Feb 27, 07:51 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 27
- Avg trade size
- $16.91
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 22, 12:00 UTC
- Last active
- May 16, 12:41 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".