Tight-Assumption
0xf399d1b54bd667d0ae5de9bf8ab9835ba4196bf5
Wallet digest
Activity score
90/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
16
Open notional
$695.93
Total PnL
$1.29
Realised
$0.08
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 16- NO
Jimmy Lai released by June 30?
47 shares @ 96.4¢·now 99.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$46.51
$1.20
- NO
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?
47 shares @ 99.3¢·now 98.9¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$46.48
$-0.19
- NO
Will Donald Trump be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?
47 shares @ 98.3¢·now 98.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$46.30
$0.09
- NO
Will Gold (GC) settle over $7,000 on the final trading day of June 2026?
47 shares @ 98.5¢·now 98.4¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$46.25
$-0.05
- NO
Will the Detroit Tigers win the 2026 World Series?
47 shares @ 97.8¢·now 98.3¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$46.20
$0.23
- NO
Will XRP dip to $1.00 in May?
47 shares @ 98.5¢·now 97.8¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$45.97
$-0.33
- NO
Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
47 shares @ 97.5¢·now 97.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$45.80
$-0.02
- NO
Will FEARX win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?
47 shares @ 97.4¢·now 97.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$45.80
$0.02
- NO
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
47 shares @ 96.3¢·now 97.2¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$45.66
$0.40
- NO
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?
47 shares @ 94.0¢·now 96.8¢·exp May 31, 2026$45.47
$1.29
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00May 18, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 17, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$44.65May 16, 23:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Kazakhstan before 2027?$4.98May 16, 20:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill any U.S. House member enter Iran by June 30?$0.99May 16, 09:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill any U.S. House member enter Iran by June 30?$0.99May 16, 08:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill any U.S. House member enter Iran by June 30?$0.99May 16, 08:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill any U.S. House member enter Iran by June 30?$0.99May 16, 08:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill any U.S. House member enter Iran by June 30?$0.99May 16, 08:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill any U.S. House member enter Iran by June 30?$0.99May 16, 08:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill any U.S. House member enter Iran by June 30?$0.99May 16, 08:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill any U.S. House member enter Iran by June 30?$0.99May 16, 08:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill any U.S. House member enter Iran by June 30?$0.99May 16, 08:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill any U.S. House member enter Iran by June 30?$0.99May 16, 08:23 UTC
- TRADESELLNetanyahu out by June 30?$48.96May 16, 06:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Fed’s upper bound reach 5.5% or higher before 2027?$28.83May 16, 05:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold (GC) settle over $7,000 on the final trading day of June 2026?$46.30May 16, 04:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 16, 00:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill paiN Gaming win IEM Atlanta 2026?$47.00May 15, 23:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill any U.S. House member enter Iran by June 30?$9.28May 15, 19:43 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $23.84
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 10, 00:53 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".