Live-Initialise
0xf39d86f4da8b56c7089f8427148e0f9cd4169fcf
Wallet digest
Activity score
73/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$4.0K
Total PnL
$-1.0K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?
3878 shares @ 76.2¢·now 84.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$3.3K
$304.11
- YES
Will a new Gemini flagship be released by May 22, 2026?
2491 shares @ 20.1¢·now 10.5¢·exp May 22, 2026$261.54
$-238.46
- YES
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
3095 shares @ 19.4¢·now 6.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$201.18
$-398.82
- YES
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
637 shares @ 15.7¢·now 16.7¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$106.05
$6.05
- YES
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
893 shares @ 11.2¢·now 11.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$101.34
$1.34
- YES
Will Anthropic be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?
268 shares @ 37.3¢·now 33.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$88.45
$-11.55
- YES
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
1930 shares @ 10.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-200.00
- YES
Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1500?
1384 shares @ 21.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-290.52
- YES
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?
500 shares @ 20.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1490?
111 shares @ 89.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-99.59
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYGemini 3.5 released by May 31?$1.0KMay 18, 04:44 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$2.26May 18, 00:45 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 18, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYGemini 3.5 released by May 31?$503.81May 17, 23:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a new Gemini flagship be released by May 22, 2026?$515.99May 17, 23:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYGemini 3.5 released by May 31?$503.91May 17, 18:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYGemini 3.5 released by May 31?$655.00May 17, 00:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYGemini 3.5 released by May 31?$303.43May 17, 00:31 UTC
- TRADESELLGemini 3.5 released by May 31?$294.54May 17, 00:26 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 17, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?$102.51May 16, 19:29 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 16, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYGemini 3.5 released by May 31?$206.32May 15, 05:53 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 15, 00:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$341.95May 14, 16:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$619.35May 14, 16:37 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 14, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 13, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 12, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 11, 00:13 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 20
- Avg trade size
- $309.70
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 24, 19:43 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 04:44 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".