Crowded-Millstone
0xf3ca90002a591c8abcb39f8b0d83d2885d0f60ae
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
7
Open notional
$507.91
Total PnL
$201.72
Realised
$212.59
Win rate
75%
4 closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will China GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 5.2% and 5.5%?
304 shares @ 86.6¢·now 89.5¢·exp Jul 16, 2026$272.30
$8.91
- NO
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?
100 shares @ 93.0¢·now 93.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$93.50
$0.50
- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?
100 shares @ 69.0¢·now 64.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$64.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%?
66 shares @ 67.3¢·now 73.5¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$48.34
$4.07
- YES
Will Solana reach $100 in May?
210 shares @ 15.7¢·now 8.5¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$17.85
$-15.15
- NO
Will Solana reach $400 by December 31, 2026?
12 shares @ 91.0¢·now 95.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$11.47
$0.55
- NO
Will Putin visit China by May 31?
300 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.1¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.45
$-4.75
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Solana reach $100 in May?$0.42May 18, 10:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?$98.13May 18, 09:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?$43.55May 18, 09:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?$98.44May 18, 09:58 UTC
- TRADESELLStarmer out by May 19, 2026?$14.20May 18, 09:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?$1.09May 18, 09:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?$1.09May 18, 09:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?$25.00May 18, 09:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?$19.72May 18, 09:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?$2.87May 18, 09:48 UTC
- TRADESELLStarmer out by May 19, 2026?$5.00May 18, 09:47 UTC
- TRADESELLStarmer out by May 19, 2026?$15.04May 18, 09:44 UTC
- TRADESELLStarmer out by May 19, 2026?$62.90May 18, 09:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?$5.10May 18, 09:38 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$48.00May 18, 09:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$920.02May 18, 07:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Solana reach $100 in May?$4.40May 18, 07:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$19.46May 18, 07:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$5.76May 18, 07:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$5.76May 18, 07:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $87.65
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 17, 01:20 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 10:08 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".