Worst-Pagan
0xf482bf8f3250e6037474074a98c68f1d3d3cfe1b
Wallet digest
Activity score
74/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$1.1K
Total PnL
$-1.6K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Carlos Álvarez win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
573 shares @ 90.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$572.71
$52.58
- NO
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
572 shares @ 87.4¢·now 36.5¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$208.73
$-291.27
- NO
Will Alfonso López Chau win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
178 shares @ 84.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$177.69
$27.69
- NO
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
159 shares @ 94.5¢·now 64.8¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$102.83
$-47.17
- YES
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
4968 shares @ 26.4¢·now 0.5¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$27.32
$-1.3K
- NO
Will Keiko Fujimori win the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections by at least 5%?
64 shares @ 62.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-40.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Rafael López Aliaga win the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections by between 5% and 10%?$0.31Apr 13, 02:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Rafael López Aliaga finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$9.35Apr 13, 00:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Carlos Álvarez win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$474.88Apr 12, 14:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Carlos Álvarez win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$45.25Apr 12, 14:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$160.00Apr 6, 06:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$100.00Apr 5, 18:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$220.00Apr 4, 22:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$35.00Apr 4, 20:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$20.00Apr 4, 18:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$15.00Apr 4, 18:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rafael López Aliaga win the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections by between 5% and 10%?$10.00Apr 4, 02:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Keiko Fujimori win the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections by at least 5%?$40.00Apr 4, 01:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$200.00Apr 4, 00:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rafael López Aliaga finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$220.00Apr 4, 00:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$300.00Mar 11, 04:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$276.32Mar 5, 04:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$50.00Mar 5, 03:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alfonso López Chau win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$50.00Mar 5, 03:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$50.00Mar 5, 03:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alfonso López Chau win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$50.00Mar 4, 19:49 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 27
- Avg trade size
- $107.81
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 23, 02:07 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 13, 02:40 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".