Similar-Activist
0xf4ad6aedf5475f2023912cd191eff5ec90ead00b
Wallet digest
Activity score
95/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
112
Open notional
$1.7K
Total PnL
$-1.3K
Realised
$828.48
Win rate
100%
19 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 112- YES
Will Team Spirit win IEM Cologne Major 2026?
1866 shares @ 5.1¢·now 16.5¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$307.88
$211.64
- NO
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
500 shares @ 56.0¢·now 59.5¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$297.49
$17.50
- YES
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
742 shares @ 11.3¢·now 38.0¢·exp Dec 6, 2026$282.34
$198.65
- YES
Iran leadership change by June 30?
1129 shares @ 37.2¢·now 14.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$163.66
$-255.93
- YES
Will Valve remove Mirage from the Map Pool?
1498 shares @ 7.8¢·now 6.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$97.35
$-19.22
- YES
Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026?
800 shares @ 14.8¢·now 12.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$96.00
$-22.00
- YES
Will BetBoom win IEM Cologne Major 2026?
6500 shares @ 0.3¢·now 1.4¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$87.75
$65.63
- YES
Will GamerLegion win IEM Cologne Major 2026?
5026 shares @ 0.2¢·now 1.4¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$67.85
$56.33
- YES
Will Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
400 shares @ 6.9¢·now 13.8¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$55.20
$27.60
- YES
Will Valve add Cobblestone to the map pool by August 30?
530 shares @ 5.8¢·now 8.5¢·exp Aug 30, 2026$45.08
$14.15
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Team Liquid win IEM Cologne Major 2026?$0.06May 18, 10:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Team Liquid win IEM Cologne Major 2026?$0.10May 18, 10:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Team Liquid win IEM Cologne Major 2026?$0.07May 18, 10:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Team Liquid win IEM Cologne Major 2026?$0.06May 18, 10:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Team Liquid win IEM Cologne Major 2026?$0.05May 18, 10:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Team Liquid win IEM Cologne Major 2026?$0.04May 18, 09:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Team Liquid win IEM Cologne Major 2026?$0.02May 18, 09:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Team Liquid win IEM Cologne Major 2026?$0.03May 18, 09:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Team Liquid win IEM Cologne Major 2026?$0.02May 18, 09:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Team Liquid win IEM Cologne Major 2026?$0.03May 18, 09:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Team Liquid win IEM Cologne Major 2026?$0.03May 18, 09:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Team Liquid win IEM Cologne Major 2026?$0.03May 18, 09:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill GamerLegion win IEM Atlanta 2026?$4.00May 17, 21:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill GamerLegion win IEM Atlanta 2026?$4.00May 17, 21:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill Czechia be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?$10.10May 17, 06:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill Denmark be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?$20.56May 17, 06:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill Denmark be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?$25.00May 17, 06:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bulgaria be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?$30.00May 17, 06:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill Cyprus be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?$35.00May 17, 06:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill Albania be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?$100.00May 17, 06:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $0.53
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 17, 00:30 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 10:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 19 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".