Quarrelsome-Calm
0xf4b13fea865321d231b515e8786c62e6f561ab63
Wallet digest
Activity score
66/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
150
Open notional
$3.7K
Total PnL
$-2.9K
Realised
$72.59
Win rate
31%
48 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 150- NO
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
1286 shares @ 67.6¢·now 69.5¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$893.64
$24.30
- NO
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?
1919 shares @ 33.2¢·now 35.5¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$682.20
$45.10
- YES
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1T?
353 shares @ 85.0¢·now 97.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$345.00
$45.00
- NO
Xi Jinping out before 2027?
345 shares @ 87.0¢·now 93.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$322.24
$22.24
- YES
Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027?
296 shares @ 67.5¢·now 93.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$277.05
$77.05
- SPACEX
Will SpaceX or OpenAI IPO first?
232 shares @ 86.3¢·now 99.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$230.05
$30.05
- NO
Xi Jinping divorce before 2027?
207 shares @ 96.4¢·now 98.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$204.24
$4.24
- YES
Will Google Gemini score at least 40% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?
211 shares @ 94.6¢·now 86.5¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$182.80
$-17.20
- NO
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?
1000 shares @ 15.0¢·now 15.5¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$155.00
$5.00
- NO
EU/NATO country announces peacekeeping force in Ukraine by June 30?
148 shares @ 88.0¢·now 98.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$145.28
$14.89
Recent activity
- REFERRAL_REWARD$2.80May 18, 00:35 UTC
- YIELD$0.05May 18, 00:11 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$3.32May 17, 00:35 UTC
- YIELD$0.05May 17, 00:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on May 16?$0.88May 16, 06:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on May 16?$2.64May 16, 06:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on May 16?$0.63May 16, 06:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on May 16?$29.70May 16, 06:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on May 16?$4.41May 16, 06:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on May 16?$6.82May 16, 06:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on May 16?$5.22May 16, 06:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on May 16?$10.38May 16, 06:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on May 16?$4.82May 16, 06:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on May 16?$16.57May 16, 05:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on May 16?$6.76May 16, 05:58 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$3.11May 16, 00:35 UTC
- YIELD$0.05May 16, 00:13 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$3.90May 15, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$2.92May 15, 00:35 UTC
- YIELD$0.05May 15, 00:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 20
- Avg trade size
- $90.45
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 6, 06:56 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:35 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 48 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".