Bewitched-Easel
0xf4e90dfd63fec36a8c62f51f8c0733fc6315245d
Wallet digest
Activity score
61/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
42
Open notional
$21.83
Total PnL
$-105.67
Realised
$1.55
Win rate
44%
36 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 42- YES
Felix Protocol FDV above $1B one day after launch?
210 shares @ 3.7¢·now 3.7¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$7.76
$0.00
- YES
Tom Holland announced as next James Bond?
97 shares @ 6.4¢·now 4.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$4.32
$-1.89
- YES
Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?
80 shares @ 10.0¢·now 2.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.64
$-6.36
- YES
Will Israel strike 8 countries in 2026?
124 shares @ 2.8¢·now 1.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.43
$-2.02
- YES
Will Trump pardon Elon Musk before 2027?
40 shares @ 17.3¢·now 3.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.37
$-5.52
- YES
Will Databricks’ market cap be between $125B and $150B at market close on IPO day?
156 shares @ 2.9¢·now 0.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.33
$-3.20
- YES
Will Yair Golan be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
304 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.07
$-1.67
- YES
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $500B and $750B at market close on IPO day?
15 shares @ 4.8¢·now 4.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.61
$-0.11
- YES
Ukraine joins NATO before 2027?
8 shares @ 5.7¢·now 4.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.38
$-0.10
- YES
Will Warren Buffett be richest person on December 31?
30 shares @ 7.1¢·now 1.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.38
$-1.77
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYSentient FDV above $400M one day after launch?$16.31Dec 17, 05:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Chauncey Billups win the 2025–2026 NBA Coach of the Year?$1.47Dec 17, 05:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Chauncey Billups win the 2025–2026 NBA Coach of the Year?$1.47Dec 17, 04:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Chauncey Billups win the 2025–2026 NBA Coach of the Year?$1.47Dec 17, 04:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Chauncey Billups win the 2025–2026 NBA Coach of the Year?$1.47Dec 17, 04:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jalen Suggs win the 2025–2026 NBA Defensive Player of the Year?$11.12Dec 17, 04:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Michael have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?$1.66Dec 17, 04:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Infinex launch a token by June 30, 2026?$2.20Dec 17, 04:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Michael have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?$1.64Dec 17, 04:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Infinex launch a token by June 30, 2026?$2.20Dec 17, 04:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump and Putin meet next in Finland?$1.11Dec 17, 04:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump be the next leader out before 2027?$11.18Dec 17, 04:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump and Putin meet next in Finland?$1.11Dec 17, 04:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Infinex launch a token by June 30, 2026?$2.20Dec 17, 04:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Chauncey Billups win the 2025–2026 NBA Coach of the Year?$1.47Dec 17, 04:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israel strike 8 countries in 2026?$1.65Dec 17, 04:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump and Putin meet next in Ukraine?$2.06Dec 17, 04:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Chauncey Billups win the 2025–2026 NBA Coach of the Year?$1.47Dec 17, 04:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump and Putin meet next in Ukraine?$2.06Dec 17, 03:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike 8 countries in 2026?$1.55Dec 17, 03:46 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $3.29
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 17, 01:04 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 17, 05:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 36 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".