Close-Magic
0xf50fd89431df96fc5d9ac24b1e208ee88cee676e
Wallet digest
Activity score
78/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
13
Open notional
$56.03
Total PnL
$-4.44
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- YES
Will the Republicans win the South Dakota Senate race in 2026?
18 shares @ 94.0¢·now 92.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$16.56
$-0.36
- NO
Pacifica FDV above $800M one day after launch?
7 shares @ 82.0¢·now 90.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$6.33
$0.59
- NO
Will Joe Johnson be the Republican nominee for Senate in Oregon?
5 shares @ 96.0¢·now 99.6¢·exp May 19, 2026$4.98
$0.18
- YES
Will Jeff Merkley be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Oregon?
5 shares @ 96.0¢·now 99.5¢·exp May 19, 2026$4.97
$0.17
- NO
Will Mark Wheeler be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Alabama?
5 shares @ 95.8¢·now 99.1¢·exp May 19, 2026$4.96
$0.17
- NO
Will Russell McAlmond be the Republican nominee for Senate in Oregon?
5 shares @ 96.0¢·now 98.9¢·exp May 19, 2026$4.94
$0.14
- NO
Will Steve Marshall be the Republican nominee for Senate in Alabama?
5 shares @ 95.8¢·now 97.3¢·exp May 19, 2026$4.87
$0.07
- YES
Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $2.0T at market close on IPO day?
6 shares @ 54.5¢·now 75.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$4.53
$1.26
- NO
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?
6 shares @ 41.5¢·now 27.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$1.65
$-0.84
- YES
Will the Democrats win the South Dakota Senate race in 2026?
18 shares @ 5.6¢·now 7.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$1.36
$0.35
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the Labour Party win at least 500 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?$5.00May 11, 22:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill Madison Sheahan be the Republican nominee for OH-09?$5.00May 6, 04:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the 2026 Assam Legislative Assembly election?$5.00May 4, 19:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Audemars Piguet Index hit $41,750 (HIGH) by April 30?$5.00May 4, 04:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Patek Index hit $112,000 (HIGH) by April 30?$5.00May 4, 03:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia enter Pokrovskoe by April 30, 2026?$5.00May 1, 07:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's market cap be greater than $2.0T at market close on IPO day?$1.77May 1, 07:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?$1.17May 1, 07:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYPacifica FDV above $800M one day after launch?$5.81May 1, 07:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Labour Party win at least 600 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?$1.19May 1, 07:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Labour Party win at least 500 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?$3.49May 1, 07:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYPacifica FDV above $500M one day after launch?$1.19May 1, 07:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill Russia enter Mykhailivka by April 30?$5.00May 1, 06:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by April 30?$5.00May 1, 06:54 UTC
- TRADESELLIran leadership change by April 30?$5.00May 1, 05:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill Netflix dip to $70 in April?$0.67May 1, 05:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill Mexico GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 1.5% and 2.0%?$5.00Apr 30, 16:09 UTC
- REDEEMNo change in the Selic rate after Bank of Brazil’s April 2026 meeting?$5.00Apr 30, 02:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?$1.35Apr 27, 09:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's market cap be greater than $2.0T at market close on IPO day?$1.53Apr 27, 09:33 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $3.74
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 24, 08:36 UTC
- Last active
- May 11, 22:24 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".