Creamy-Geology
0xf524bfb554fc488324dafe01ce36178156c38178
Wallet digest
Activity score
92/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$1.2K
Total PnL
$91.87
Realised
$687.28
Win rate
47%
83 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Romanian parliament dissolved by July 31?
542 shares @ 9.7¢·now 8.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$43.89
$-8.87
- YES
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
600 shares @ 8.2¢·now 7.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$42.84
$-6.06
- YES
Will any AI model reach 1525 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026?
50 shares @ 91.0¢·now 82.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$41.00
$-4.50
- YES
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?
540 shares @ 8.4¢·now 7.5¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$40.51
$-5.10
- NO
Romanian PM Bolojan out by June 30?
297 shares @ 14.1¢·now 13.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$38.46
$-3.41
- YES
Hantavirus vaccine in 2026?
400 shares @ 10.0¢·now 9.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$38.00
$-2.00
- YES
Kash Patel out by May 31?
376 shares @ 12.5¢·now 10.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$37.62
$-9.55
- YES
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
300 shares @ 14.0¢·now 12.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$37.50
$-4.50
- YES
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?
300 shares @ 16.0¢·now 7.5¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$22.50
$-25.50
- NO
Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?
200 shares @ 9.0¢·now 10.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$21.00
$3.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$1.56May 18, 07:05 UTC
- MERGEWill Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in May 2026?$0.67May 18, 07:03 UTC
- MERGEWill John Braun advance to the general election for WA-03?$4.50May 18, 07:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill New York Mets win the 2026 National League Championship Series?$0.68May 18, 07:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alex Borg be the next Prime Minister of Malta following the 2026 Maltese general election?$2.25May 18, 06:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$0.20May 18, 06:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Toy Story 5 be the top grossing movie of 2026?$1.31May 18, 06:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$7.40May 18, 06:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $5,300 in May?$0.35May 18, 06:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$1.15May 18, 06:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Fannie Mae not IPO by June 30, 2026?$0.70May 18, 06:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?$0.21May 18, 06:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?$5.98May 18, 06:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill John Braun advance to the general election for WA-03?$1.84May 18, 06:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Josh Elliott win the 2026 Connecticut Governor Democratic primary election?$3.29May 18, 06:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?$0.04May 18, 06:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?$0.04May 18, 06:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?$0.55May 18, 06:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill annual inflation be 4.1% in May?$1.50May 18, 06:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?$1.87May 18, 05:55 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $2.44
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 18, 03:57 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 07:05 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 83 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".