0xf52bd1055547e8b7e79f37e19409dd639343bdf5
0xf52bd1055547e8b7e79f37e19409dd639343bdf5
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
91
Open notional
$206.54
Total PnL
$-2.0K
Realised
$-40.60
Win rate
0%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 91- YES
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.25% at the end of 2026?
1048 shares @ 5.7¢·now 5.5¢·exp Dec 9, 2026$58.17
$-1.72
- YES
Will US unemployment reach at least 6.0% in 2026?
250 shares @ 16.0¢·now 13.0¢·exp Jan 10, 2026$32.44
$-7.49
- YES
Will US unemployment reach at least 5.0% in 2026?
97 shares @ 41.2¢·now 27.5¢·exp Jan 10, 2026$26.64
$-13.29
- YES
Will US unemployment reach at least 7.0% in 2026?
266 shares @ 15.0¢·now 10.0¢·exp Jan 10, 2026$26.62
$-13.31
- YES
Will US unemployment reach at least 10.0% in 2026?
455 shares @ 8.8¢·now 4.5¢·exp Jan 10, 2026$20.46
$-19.47
- YES
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 1.25% at the end of 2026?
2667 shares @ 21.3¢·now 0.7¢·exp Dec 9, 2026$18.67
$-549.18
- YES
Will US unemployment reach at least 5.5% in 2026?
99 shares @ 40.2¢·now 14.0¢·exp Jan 10, 2026$13.91
$-26.02
- YES
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 1.0% or lower before 2027?
41 shares @ 6.3¢·now 5.7¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.34
$-0.26
- YES
Will 7 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
550 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.93
$-4.67
- YES
Will 9 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
543 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.90
$-1.90
Recent activity
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down - March 16, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET$6.66Apr 24, 14:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Munich be 5°C or below on March 21?$5.05Apr 23, 23:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be 71°F or below on March 21?$5.05Apr 23, 23:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Paris be 8°C or below on March 21?$5.05Apr 23, 23:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 34°C or higher on March 21?$5.05Apr 23, 23:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 23°C or higher on March 21?$5.05Apr 23, 23:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 3°C or below on March 21?$5.05Apr 23, 23:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in New York City be 60°F or higher on March 21?$5.05Apr 23, 23:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Dallas be 79°F or below on March 21?$5.05Apr 23, 23:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Seattle be 41°F or below on March 21?$5.05Apr 23, 23:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 4°C or below on March 21?$5.05Apr 23, 23:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be 8°C or below on March 21?$5.05Apr 23, 23:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 6°C or higher on March 21?$5.86Apr 23, 23:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on March 18?$7.11Apr 23, 23:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 31°C on March 17?$7.70Apr 23, 23:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 16°C on March 18?$8.20Apr 23, 23:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 20°C on March 18?$8.33Apr 23, 23:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be 14°C on March 17?$8.47Apr 23, 23:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 16°C on March 17?$11.10Apr 23, 23:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 12°C or higher on March 19?$39.25Apr 23, 23:52 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 15
- Avg trade size
- $4.48
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 17, 10:35 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 24, 14:25 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".