Grand-Arm
0xf53e20e9f3f3338fdc9cee435d544b0d23a32728
Wallet digest
Activity score
81/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
30
Open notional
$8.8K
Total PnL
$-1.4K
Realised
$4.95
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 30- YES
GRVT FDV above $100M one day after launch?
2498 shares @ 65.6¢·now 82.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$2.0K
$408.54
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?
2000 shares @ 83.4¢·now 84.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$1.7K
$22.01
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?
1455 shares @ 68.2¢·now 67.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$982.13
$-10.27
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?
1282 shares @ 77.9¢·now 75.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$967.91
$-30.43
- YES
Predict.fun FDV above $100M one day after launch?
1000 shares @ 75.9¢·now 88.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$880.00
$120.50
- NO
Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in May?
1000 shares @ 90.0¢·now 87.9¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$879.50
$-20.50
- YES
Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch?
1000 shares @ 57.0¢·now 80.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$800.00
$230.00
- YES
GRVT FDV above $300M one day after launch?
768 shares @ 17.0¢·now 33.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$253.51
$122.91
- YES
Variational FDV above $300M one day after launch?
300 shares @ 61.0¢·now 71.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$214.50
$31.50
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?
2000 shares @ 19.8¢·now 2.7¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$54.00
$-342.88
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Ethereum reach $2,400 in May?$1.0KMay 6, 12:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $80,000 in May?$1.2KMay 4, 04:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $1,800 in May?$906.48May 3, 21:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $2,400 in May?$867.91May 3, 21:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?$419.78May 3, 21:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?$444.00May 3, 21:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?$2.0KMay 3, 21:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $80,000 in May?$1.0KMay 2, 18:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?$180.16Apr 29, 11:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in April?$347.47Apr 29, 11:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?$180.16Apr 29, 11:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first?$791.72Apr 23, 19:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?$989.50Apr 23, 19:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?$992.39Apr 22, 18:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?$22.85Apr 22, 18:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?$1.7KApr 22, 18:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?$26.52Apr 22, 18:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?$948.97Apr 22, 18:29 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$1.43Apr 22, 01:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on April 21?$54.02Apr 21, 07:59 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $465.64
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 2, 19:16 UTC
- Last active
- May 6, 12:44 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".