Notable-Median
0xf555bbccf9549fa2fb513140744dfbe0f057b2d5
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
158
Open notional
$69.36
Total PnL
$-1.0K
Realised
$279.99
Win rate
54%
24 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 158- YES
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?
200 shares @ 19.0¢·now 15.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$31.00
$-7.00
- YES
Ahmed al-Sharaa out as leader of Syria by December 31, 2026?
154 shares @ 14.4¢·now 11.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$17.75
$-4.53
- YES
McDonald's CEO out by June 30?
230 shares @ 2.6¢·now 2.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$6.55
$0.46
- YES
GPT-5.6 released by May 31, 2026?
55 shares @ 9.6¢·now 10.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$5.81
$0.49
- YES
Obama divorce before 2027?
36 shares @ 4.0¢·now 7.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.68
$1.25
- YES
Will Casey DeSantis be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?
750 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.3¢·exp Aug 18, 2026$1.87
$-0.37
- YES
Tucker Carlson federally charged?
75 shares @ 5.0¢·now 1.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.39
$-2.36
- YES
Will SpaceX have 200 or more launches in 2026?
30 shares @ 4.0¢·now 4.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.35
$0.15
- YES
Will DeepSeek be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?
386 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.97
$-2.59
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $106K on August 30 at 4PM ET?
3000 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 30, 2025$0.00
$-15.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00May 18, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYGPT-5.6 released by May 31, 2026?$5.18May 17, 20:18 UTC
- TRADESELLIran closes its airspace by May 31?$7.00May 17, 09:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?$6.90May 17, 09:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?$2.16May 17, 09:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYGPT-5.6 released by May 31, 2026?$0.32May 17, 06:44 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 17, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYMcDonald's CEO out by June 30?$2.02May 16, 22:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?$2.72May 16, 20:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?$4.00May 16, 10:31 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 16, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 15, 00:15 UTC
- TRADESELLIran closes its airspace by May 31?$4.81May 14, 17:57 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 14, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?$8.10May 13, 18:34 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 13, 00:11 UTC
- TRADESELLZelenskyy out as Ukraine president by June 30, 2026?$3.90May 12, 19:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX have 200 or more launches in 2026?$1.20May 12, 17:04 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 12, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYMcDonald's CEO out by June 30?$0.18May 11, 11:04 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $2.68
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 3, 11:35 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 24 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".