Married-Cravat
0xf57c1753137061af79a04df0193aff9ff1c39b5a
Wallet digest
Activity score
58/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
15
Open notional
$16.67
Total PnL
$-616.46
Realised
$-164.53
Win rate
40%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 15- YES
Will Recep Tayyip Erdoğan win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
2349 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.5¢·exp Oct 10, 2026$12.92
$-4.04
- YES
Epstein or Maxwell confirmed Mossad operatives by June 30?
326 shares @ 5.3¢·now 1.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$3.75
$-13.46
- NO
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 18, 2026?
200000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 15, 2026$0.00
$-200.00
- YES
Netanyahu out by April 30?
6000 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-96.00
- YES
Will Claude by Anthropic be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 24?
1000 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 24, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will the Logan Paul 1st Edition Charizard sale price be over 1.4m?
819 shares @ 2.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-22.65
- YES
U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by January 31?
477 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-4.29
- YES
Will global temperature increase by between 1.00ºC and 1.04ºC in January 2026?
466 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 10, 2026$0.00
$-28.00
- YES
Will the Logan Paul 1st Edition Charizard sale price be over 1.3m?
344 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-30.98
- YES
Will Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101 in over 2 hours and 30 minutes?
315 shares @ 9.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 23, 2026$0.00
$-29.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 18, 2026?$38.00Apr 17, 22:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 18, 2026?$50.00Apr 17, 22:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 18, 2026?$12.00Apr 17, 22:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 18, 2026?$20.00Apr 17, 22:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 18, 2026?$20.00Apr 17, 22:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 18, 2026?$10.00Apr 17, 22:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 18, 2026?$25.00Apr 17, 22:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 18, 2026?$10.00Apr 17, 22:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 18, 2026?$5.00Apr 17, 22:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 18, 2026?$5.00Apr 17, 22:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 18, 2026?$5.00Apr 17, 10:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Recep Tayyip Erdoğan win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?$0.37Apr 15, 01:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Recep Tayyip Erdoğan win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?$0.69Apr 15, 01:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Recep Tayyip Erdoğan win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?$0.57Apr 15, 01:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Recep Tayyip Erdoğan win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?$0.52Apr 15, 00:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Recep Tayyip Erdoğan win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?$0.56Apr 13, 20:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Recep Tayyip Erdoğan win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?$0.58Apr 13, 20:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYEpstein or Maxwell confirmed Mossad operatives by June 30?$0.38Apr 5, 18:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYNetanyahu out by April 30?$96.00Apr 1, 19:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYEpstein or Maxwell confirmed Mossad operatives by June 30?$1.01Apr 1, 18:46 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $13.09
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 21, 18:56 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 17, 22:42 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".