Soulful-Historian
0xf5b057f8286fa8d986f131522f314bac737e38c4
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
34
Open notional
$265.27
Total PnL
$-36.10
Realised
$33.24
Win rate
33%
21 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 34- NO
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
73 shares @ 77.8¢·now 68.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$49.81
$-6.73
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
41 shares @ 95.7¢·now 95.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$38.76
$-0.06
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
26 shares @ 87.0¢·now 82.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$21.52
$-1.17
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
17 shares @ 85.2¢·now 91.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$15.66
$1.08
- YES
Will Italy replace Iran in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
397 shares @ 13.2¢·now 3.6¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$14.30
$-38.29
- NO
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
15 shares @ 92.0¢·now 93.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$13.80
$0.14
- NO
Will Aristotle self-certify sports event contracts by June 30, 2026?
26 shares @ 64.9¢·now 47.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$12.34
$-4.53
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
9 shares @ 83.0¢·now 96.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$8.71
$1.18
- YES
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?
10 shares @ 79.6¢·now 85.5¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$8.54
$0.59
- NO
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?
9 shares @ 93.6¢·now 92.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$8.31
$-0.10
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$7.53May 18, 15:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$1.10May 18, 15:03 UTC
- TRADESELLIran closes its airspace by May 31?$0.41May 18, 13:25 UTC
- TRADESELLIran closes its airspace by May 21?$4.10May 18, 12:14 UTC
- TRADESELLIran closes its airspace by May 21?$0.08May 18, 12:14 UTC
- TRADESELLIran closes its airspace by May 21?$0.05May 18, 12:13 UTC
- TRADESELLIran closes its airspace by May 21?$0.05May 18, 12:12 UTC
- TRADESELLIran closes its airspace by May 21?$0.01May 18, 12:06 UTC
- TRADESELLIran closes its airspace by May 21?$0.02May 18, 12:05 UTC
- TRADESELLMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?$0.05May 18, 11:41 UTC
- TRADESELLMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?$0.11May 18, 10:42 UTC
- TRADESELLMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?$0.01May 18, 10:31 UTC
- TRADESELLMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?$0.01May 18, 10:31 UTC
- TRADESELLMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?$0.81May 18, 10:31 UTC
- TRADESELLMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?$0.05May 18, 10:31 UTC
- TRADESELLMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?$0.22May 18, 10:31 UTC
- TRADESELLMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?$0.13May 18, 10:31 UTC
- TRADESELLMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?$0.01May 18, 10:29 UTC
- TRADESELLMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?$0.01May 18, 10:28 UTC
- TRADESELLMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?$0.08May 18, 10:28 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $1.19
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 15, 20:47 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 15:03 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 21 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".