Grimy-Turnstile
0xf5bbbfd5df4bae871da64022cf8bfc43f145bdb8
Wallet digest
Activity score
87/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$6.2K
Total PnL
$1.2K
Realised
$-56.95
Win rate
23%
13 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- NO
Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026?
798 shares @ 37.6¢·now 75.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$598.81
$298.81
- NO
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?
856 shares @ 46.7¢·now 65.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$560.81
$160.81
- NO
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?
916 shares @ 21.8¢·now 47.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$435.08
$235.08
- NO
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?
537 shares @ 46.6¢·now 72.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$386.01
$136.01
- NO
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?
1323 shares @ 15.1¢·now 24.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$324.04
$124.04
- NO
Will Russia enter Dopropillia by June 30?
294 shares @ 51.1¢·now 93.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$274.60
$124.60
- NO
Another US strike on Venezuela by December 31?
299 shares @ 66.8¢·now 87.5¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$262.00
$62.00
- NO
Will Russia capture Lyman by June 30, 2026?
297 shares @ 50.4¢·now 85.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$254.27
$104.27
- NO
Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by June 30?
235 shares @ 63.9¢·now 92.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$217.21
$67.21
- NO
Will Russia enter Orikhiv by June 30?
225 shares @ 66.7¢·now 93.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$210.24
$60.24
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Keiko Fujimori win the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections by at least 5%?$0.00May 18, 06:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill Partido Popular (PP) win the Andalusia regional election?$0.00May 18, 06:25 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 18, 00:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill Russia enter Vozdvyzhivka by May 31?$0.00May 17, 16:38 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 17, 00:12 UTC
- REDEEMTrump declassifies new UFO files by December 31?$0.00May 16, 18:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump speak to Elon Musk in May?$0.00May 16, 18:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 15?$0.00May 16, 18:50 UTC
- REDEEMCerebras IPO before 2027?$0.00May 16, 18:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Finland recognize Palestine before 2027?$34.59May 16, 11:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to no prison time?$57.09May 16, 11:34 UTC
- REDEEMTrump declassifies new UFO files by May 31?$35.09May 16, 11:33 UTC
- REDEEMJerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?$0.00May 16, 07:30 UTC
- REDEEMIran closes its airspace by May 15?$0.00May 16, 07:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill Rafael López Aliaga and Keiko Fujimori advance to the runoff?$0.00May 16, 07:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill a different combination of candidates advance to the runoff?$0.00May 16, 07:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$0.00May 16, 07:30 UTC
- REDEEMUS announces shutdown of Gaza military center by May 15?$0.00May 16, 07:30 UTC
- REDEEMJerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 16, 2026?$0.00May 16, 07:30 UTC
- REDEEMConfirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?$0.00May 16, 07:30 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 13
- Avg trade size
- $18.08
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 14, 06:52 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 06:25 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 13 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".