Self-Reliant-Menorah
0xf5d0b81ef5f0e51ca38c4b870f82d6d3556299f3
Wallet digest
Activity score
71/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
29
Open notional
$1.1K
Total PnL
$-477.93
Realised
$135.36
Win rate
40%
10 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 29- NO
Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by June 30?
336 shares @ 18.0¢·now 69.7¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$234.17
$173.53
- NO
Will xAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?
200 shares @ 74.8¢·now 95.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$191.17
$41.52
- YES
Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch?
699 shares @ 31.7¢·now 21.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$146.82
$-74.80
- NO
Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?
151 shares @ 69.4¢·now 89.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$134.97
$30.33
- NO
Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31?
187 shares @ 25.1¢·now 71.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$132.65
$85.81
- NO
Will Fenerbahçe win the Süper Lig?
100 shares @ 59.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 24, 2026$99.99
$41.00
- NO
Bitmine sells any Ethereum in 2026?
125 shares @ 68.0¢·now 75.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$93.75
$8.75
- YES
Hyperbeat FDV above $50M one day after launch?
96 shares @ 27.0¢·now 34.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$32.60
$6.71
- YES
Will no company have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?
27 shares @ 25.7¢·now 55.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$15.04
$8.08
- YES
Will Galatasaray win the Süper Lig?
9 shares @ 53.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 24, 2026$9.08
$4.27
Recent activity
- REDEEMUSD.AI FDV above $1B one day after launch?$124.98May 5, 13:04 UTC
- REDEEMUSD.AI FDV above $500M one day after launch?$130.01May 5, 13:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Sleepy Joe" or "Biden" during the White House Easter Egg Roll?$0.00Apr 8, 23:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Sleepy Joe" or "Biden" during the White House Easter Egg Roll?$1.12Apr 6, 16:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Sleepy Joe" or "Biden" during the White House Easter Egg Roll?$1.12Apr 6, 16:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Sleepy Joe" or "Biden" during the White House Easter Egg Roll?$1.10Apr 6, 16:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?$123.40Apr 4, 10:07 UTC
- TRADESELLMezo FDV above $100M one day after launch?$3.23Mar 25, 15:16 UTC
- TRADESELLMezo FDV above $100M one day after launch?$15.63Mar 25, 15:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31?$2.12Mar 23, 16:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31?$2.10Mar 23, 16:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31?$4.11Mar 18, 09:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31?$1.80Mar 18, 09:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31?$1.80Mar 18, 09:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill Galatasaray SK win on 2026-02-08?$0.45Mar 8, 08:39 UTC
- REDEEMNo change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?$1.01Mar 8, 08:39 UTC
- REDEEMOpinion FDV above $1B one day after launch?$1.61Mar 8, 08:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?$144.73Mar 8, 08:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill xAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?$1.50Mar 2, 02:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31?$2.20Mar 1, 23:09 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $5.92
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 27, 17:22 UTC
- Last active
- May 5, 13:04 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 10 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".