Ordinary-Dress
0xf5e814660a5a5ac071390a36122e7bc7c1309fbd
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
182
Open notional
$5.0K
Total PnL
$5.9K
Realised
$5.3K
Win rate
99%
95 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 182- YES
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?
2400 shares @ 6.8¢·now 13.5¢·exp May 15, 2026$324.00
$160.56
- YES
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another country?
6897 shares @ 0.3¢·now 2.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$189.66
$172.29
- YES
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $X?
4370 shares @ 4.1¢·now 4.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$172.62
$-7.33
- YES
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?
4350 shares @ 2.1¢·now 3.4¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$147.90
$56.55
- NO
Will SpaceX's public ticker be another ticker?
1900 shares @ 6.9¢·now 7.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$138.70
$6.80
- YES
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
386 shares @ 6.6¢·now 34.6¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$133.74
$108.10
- YES
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?
300 shares @ 14.0¢·now 42.5¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$127.50
$85.50
- YES
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
400 shares @ 20.1¢·now 31.6¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$126.20
$45.80
- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
1500 shares @ 14.7¢·now 7.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$112.50
$-107.50
- YES
Will Wes Streeting be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
1100 shares @ 4.9¢·now 9.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$104.50
$50.94
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Kamala Harris win the California Governor Election in 2026?$1.79May 18, 06:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's public ticker be $STAR?$0.00May 18, 06:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill xAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$0.05May 18, 06:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's public ticker be $STAR?$0.00May 18, 05:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Kamala Harris win the California Governor Election in 2026?$0.11May 18, 05:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill xAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$0.01May 18, 05:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Benny Gantz be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$0.01May 18, 05:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Benny Gantz be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$0.00May 18, 05:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill xAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$0.06May 18, 05:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?$1.55May 18, 05:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill xAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$0.01May 18, 05:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill xAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$0.01May 18, 05:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Benny Gantz be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$0.00May 18, 05:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?$2.06May 18, 05:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill xAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$0.01May 18, 05:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill xAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$0.04May 18, 05:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's public ticker be $STAR?$0.00May 18, 04:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$0.08May 18, 04:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$3.60May 18, 04:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$2.89May 18, 04:32 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $0.44
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 18, 01:44 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 06:08 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 95 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".