Prime-Permit
0xf661606d8e890660ff21254f8c1500613b48a08c
Wallet digest
Activity score
65/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
32
Open notional
$34.48
Total PnL
$-437.29
Realised
$-12.11
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 32- YES
Lecornu out as French PM by December 31, 2026?
35 shares @ 43.3¢·now 30.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$10.40
$-4.60
- YES
Will anyone be charged over Epstein disclosures?
60 shares @ 33.1¢·now 16.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$9.97
$-10.03
- YES
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
56 shares @ 18.0¢·now 12.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$6.94
$-3.06
- YES
Prince Andrew sentenced to prison?
70 shares @ 13.0¢·now 7.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.90
$-4.20
- YES
Lecornu out as French PM by June 30, 2026?
126 shares @ 19.9¢·now 1.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.26
$-22.74
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET
95 shares @ 51.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 19, 2026$0.00
$-49.22
- NO
GPT-5.4 released by March 5?
67 shares @ 15.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-10.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET
59 shares @ 17.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 19, 2026$0.00
$-10.16
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET
59 shares @ 6.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 20, 2026$0.00
$-3.99
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET
53 shares @ 56.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 27, 2026$0.00
$-29.55
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Emmanuel Grégoire win the Paris mayor election?$15.15Mar 24, 08:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 15?$35.09Mar 24, 08:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill global temperature increase by between 1.20ºC and 1.24ºC in February 2026?$13.33Mar 14, 12:11 UTC
- REDEEMS&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on March 10?$109.38Mar 14, 11:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on March 10?$70.00Mar 10, 14:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 15?$20.00Mar 10, 14:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 8?$17.54Mar 10, 14:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 7?$9.80Mar 10, 14:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 6?$37.74Mar 10, 14:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 5?$25.37Mar 10, 14:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 15?$0.00Mar 10, 14:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 9?$20.00Mar 7, 09:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 31?$7.00Mar 7, 09:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET$10.00Mar 7, 09:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET$5.00Mar 7, 09:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET$10.00Mar 7, 09:15 UTC
- TRADESELLS&P 500 all time high by March 31, 2026?$7.60Mar 7, 09:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 15?$5.00Mar 6, 07:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Emmanuel Grégoire win the Paris mayor election?$10.00Mar 6, 07:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Khamenei tweet again by March 21?$5.00Mar 6, 07:28 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $16.53
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 27, 09:50 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 24, 08:05 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".