Wild-Speculation
0xf788c3358e517682e683976d9b83794eec0f6cdb
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$405.07
Total PnL
$-93.73
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Bayern Munich win DFB-Pokal?
249 shares @ 80.0¢·now 82.5¢·exp Jun 6, 2026$205.01
$6.21
- YES
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?
172 shares @ 58.0¢·now 58.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$100.86
$0.86
- YES
Andy Burnham becomes an MP by June 30?
175 shares @ 57.0¢·now 46.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$81.58
$-18.42
- YES
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
476 shares @ 21.0¢·now 3.7¢·exp May 31, 2026$17.62
$-82.38
Recent activity
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET$0.00May 17, 00:43 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET$0.00May 17, 00:43 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET$0.00May 17, 00:43 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET$0.00May 17, 00:43 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET$0.00May 17, 00:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET$26.24May 17, 00:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET$5.26May 17, 00:33 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET$82.22May 17, 00:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET$26.24May 17, 00:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET$25.95May 17, 00:20 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET$42.37May 17, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET$25.72May 17, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET$26.12May 17, 00:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET$5.34May 17, 00:03 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET$113.64May 17, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET$26.36May 16, 23:55 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET$0.00May 16, 23:52 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET$260.70May 16, 23:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET$68.90May 16, 23:46 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET$0.00May 16, 23:45 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 21
- Avg trade size
- $35.07
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 16, 22:31 UTC
- Last active
- May 17, 00:43 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".