Ajar-Sportsman
0xf797d4d1c038d1eb0593edae0e66bf8e4b2e0bf2
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
89
Open notional
$69.0K
Total PnL
$-1.4K
Realised
$1.3K
Win rate
77%
22 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 89- NO
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?
11422 shares @ 95.1¢·now 94.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$10.8K
$-27.19
- NO
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T
9088 shares @ 82.2¢·now 85.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$7.7K
$258.19
- NO
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
7492 shares @ 64.5¢·now 69.5¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$5.2K
$376.08
- NO
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?
5500 shares @ 85.5¢·now 94.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$5.2K
$492.50
- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
14970 shares @ 28.3¢·now 24.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$3.7K
$-574.31
- YES
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?
9454 shares @ 24.3¢·now 38.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$3.6K
$1.3K
- NO
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?
11325 shares @ 36.2¢·now 27.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$3.1K
$-1.0K
- NO
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?
3000 shares @ 88.0¢·now 95.2¢·exp May 31, 2026$2.9K
$214.50
- NO
Iran leadership change by May 31?
3000 shares @ 92.0¢·now 92.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$2.8K
$15.00
- NO
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?
2314 shares @ 22.1¢·now 99.1¢·exp May 15, 2026$2.3K
$1.8K
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.4T?$53.54May 18, 08:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026?$6.56May 18, 06:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026?$6.09May 18, 05:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?$130.00May 18, 01:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.6T?$10.69May 18, 01:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?$370.00May 18, 00:46 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$13.55May 18, 00:45 UTC
- REWARD$8.85May 18, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T$604.92May 17, 23:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T$610.07May 17, 23:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.4T?$31.00May 17, 22:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill MrBeast hit 497 million subscribers by June 30?$1.0KMay 17, 21:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill MrBeast hit 500 million subscribers by June 30?$546.40May 17, 21:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill MrBeast hit 500 million subscribers by June 30?$0.74May 17, 21:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill MrBeast hit 500 million subscribers by June 30?$553.31May 17, 21:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?$0.00May 17, 19:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Eurovision 2026 margin of victory be between 100 and 124 points?$0.00May 17, 19:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Eurovision 2026 margin of victory be between 125 and 149 points?$0.00May 17, 19:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bulgaria win the televote for Eurovision 2026?$0.00May 17, 19:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill Finland win Eurovision 2026?$0.14May 17, 19:21 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $107.26
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 17, 18:47 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 08:32 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 22 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".