Pastel-Guacamole
0xf8086d684f46e1e96f564c86c3faa535dfeb6e99
Wallet digest
Activity score
80/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
40
Open notional
$733.14
Total PnL
$-803.13
Realised
$40.36
Win rate
63%
8 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 40- YES
Will Variational launch a token by December 31, 2026?
761 shares @ 90.9¢·now 79.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$601.58
$-90.42
- YES
Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?
200 shares @ 50.0¢·now 50.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$101.00
$1.00
- YES
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
100 shares @ 18.3¢·now 18.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$18.25
$-0.05
- NO
Ink FDV above $500M one day after launch?
30 shares @ 34.0¢·now 26.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$7.95
$-2.25
- YES
Variational FDV above $300M one day after launch?
4 shares @ 57.0¢·now 71.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$3.16
$0.64
- YES
Will Dan Cox win the 2026 Maryland Governor Republican primary election?
1 shares @ 2.0¢·now 57.5¢·exp Jun 23, 2026$0.57
$0.56
- YES
Will any U.S. Senator enter Iran by June 30?
20 shares @ 14.0¢·now 2.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.55
$-2.25
- YES
Will John Myrick win the 2026 Maryland Governor Republican primary election?
1 shares @ 2.0¢·now 2.7¢·exp Jun 23, 2026$0.03
$0.01
- YES
Will Larry Hogan win the 2026 Maryland Governor Republican primary election?
1 shares @ 2.0¢·now 2.1¢·exp Jun 23, 2026$0.02
$0.00
- YES
Will Steve Hershey win the 2026 Maryland Governor Republican primary election?
1 shares @ 2.0¢·now 1.9¢·exp Jun 23, 2026$0.02
$-0.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$18.75May 18, 05:50 UTC
- TRADESELLCounter-Strike: MOUZ vs Spirit (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffs$91.00May 16, 10:56 UTC
- TRADESELLCounter-Strike: MOUZ vs Spirit (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffs$1.00May 16, 10:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: MOUZ vs Spirit (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffs$71.62May 16, 09:50 UTC
- REDEEMCounter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs GamerLegion (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group B$50.00May 13, 04:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs GamerLegion (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group B$33.68May 12, 03:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs GamerLegion (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group B$3.80May 12, 03:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Vitality (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group A$93.20May 12, 03:13 UTC
- TRADESELLCounter-Strike: FURIA vs Spirit (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage$64.40May 11, 16:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: FURIA vs Spirit (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage$42.50May 11, 00:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: Team Falcons vs 9z (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage$18.22May 10, 15:24 UTC
- REDEEMCounter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs The Huns Esports (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage$100.00May 10, 15:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Solana reach $100 in May?$16.20May 10, 09:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs The Huns Esports (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage$95.14May 10, 08:26 UTC
- REDEEMUFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)$19.23May 10, 08:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)$5.11May 10, 04:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the fight be won by KO or TKO?$16.50May 10, 04:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Solana reach $100 in May?$15.90May 9, 16:43 UTC
- MERGEInk FDV above $500M one day after launch?$40.00May 9, 16:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYInk FDV above $500M one day after launch?$24.90May 9, 16:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $31.18
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 1, 00:24 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 05:50 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 8 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".