Ugly-Support
0xf85d1e4d411bdbda719b0020b1732b491a185331
Wallet digest
Activity score
81/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
124
Open notional
$129.16
Total PnL
$-1.1K
Realised
$5.86
Win rate
75%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 124- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?
33332 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.3¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$83.33
$-16.67
- YES
Will François Bayrou win the 2027 French presidential election?
8333 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.5¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$45.83
$-4.17
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on March 17?
3000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 17, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will the Toronto Maple Leafs win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?
1500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will Ethereum dip to $400 in March?
1500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $67,000 on March 17?
1000 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 on March 17?
732 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-0.73
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 9AM ET
657 shares @ 38.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 23, 2026$0.00
$-249.93
- SARA BEJLEK
Miami Open: Sara Bejlek vs Talia Gibson
296 shares @ 12.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 25, 2026$0.00
$-36.00
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be greater than $2,500 on March 17?
180 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 17, 2026$0.00
$-0.36
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?$8.04May 18, 03:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?$8.04May 18, 01:16 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$1.75May 18, 00:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?$26.98May 17, 22:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?$3.76May 17, 22:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?$0.84May 17, 22:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?$0.01May 17, 22:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?$0.00May 17, 21:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?$0.05May 17, 21:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?$0.06May 17, 21:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?$0.01May 17, 21:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?$0.04May 17, 21:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?$1.00May 17, 21:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?$0.29May 17, 21:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?$0.00May 17, 20:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?$0.87May 17, 20:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?$0.01May 17, 20:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?$0.06May 17, 20:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?$0.00May 17, 20:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?$0.04May 17, 20:26 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $1.34
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 17, 14:57 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 03:31 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".