Second-Hand-Bakery
0xf891244b0d958a85600b47b673df179b83713e0b
Wallet digest
Activity score
56/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
37
Open notional
$2.61
Total PnL
$-1.1K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 37- YES
Will Citizens’ Party be part of the next Government of Denmark?
653 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.4¢·exp Mar 24, 2026$2.61
$-82.33
- OVER
FC Metaloglobus București vs. FC UTA Arad: O/U 4.5
398 shares @ 17.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 7, 2026$0.00
$-67.72
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on February 4?
393 shares @ 37.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 4, 2026$0.00
$-148.55
- YES
Will FC Ōsaka win on 2026-04-05?
311 shares @ 16.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 5, 2026$0.00
$-49.79
- NO
Will Meta (META) finish week of March 9 above $610?
300 shares @ 25.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 13, 2026$0.00
$-75.00
- YES
Will the total number of TSA passengers for February 9 be less than 1,500,000?
273 shares @ 2.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 9, 2026$0.00
$-6.29
- YES
Will Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa win on 2026-03-23?
260 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 23, 2026$0.00
$-33.80
- CLERMONT FOOT 63
Spread: Clermont Foot 63 (-1.5)
260 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 7, 2026$0.00
$-31.20
- REAL SALT LAKE
Spread: Real Salt Lake (-2.5)
259 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-33.62
- NO
Will Microsoft (MSFT) finish week of February 2 above $380?
246 shares @ 4.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 6, 2026$0.00
$-10.80
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Microsoft (MSFT) finish week of April 20 above $390?$470.25Apr 26, 09:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Microsoft (MSFT) finish week of April 20 above $390?$409.12Apr 20, 03:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill Martin Momtahan win the GA-14 special election?$147.64Apr 9, 14:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill "The Truth and Tragedy of Moriah Wilson" be the top US Netflix movie this week?$123.83Apr 8, 20:03 UTC
- REDEEMExact Score: Hamburger SV 0 - 1 FC Augsburg?$196.36Apr 5, 10:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "The Truth and Tragedy of Moriah Wilson" be the top US Netflix movie this week?$102.78Apr 3, 21:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FC Ōsaka win on 2026-04-05?$49.79Apr 3, 00:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Hamburger SV 0 - 1 FC Augsburg?$176.72Apr 1, 10:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill Palantir (PLTR) close at $160-$162 on the final day of trading of the week of Mar 23 – Mar 27?$239.57Mar 31, 13:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Palantir (PLTR) close at $160-$162 on the final day of trading of the week of Mar 23 – Mar 27?$220.40Mar 23, 09:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Citizens’ Party be part of the next Government of Denmark?$84.94Mar 20, 08:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill Jason Friedman be the Democratic Nominee for IL-07?$135.92Mar 19, 10:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Gil Vicente FC (-1.5)$25.79Mar 19, 03:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa win on 2026-03-23?$33.80Mar 17, 23:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Meta (META) close at $630-$640 on the final day of trading of the week of Mar 16 – Mar 20?$33.71Mar 17, 14:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill EC Vitória vs. CA Mineiro end in a draw?$326.00Mar 17, 05:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jason Friedman be the Democratic Nominee for IL-07?$120.70Mar 14, 11:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Gaziantep FK (-2.5)$18.37Mar 13, 05:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Real Salt Lake (-2.5)$33.62Mar 12, 05:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Meta (META) finish week of March 9 above $610?$75.00Mar 8, 08:01 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $91.33
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 10, 20:15 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 26, 09:28 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".