Numb-Conversation
0xf8951c1c217f372e5f5939021c56f9cc5c8b02a4
Wallet digest
Activity score
69/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
49
Open notional
$83.97
Total PnL
$-96.03
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 49- YES
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?
216 shares @ 3.7¢·now 5.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$10.89
$2.89
- YES
Iran closes its airspace by May 18?
232 shares @ 5.6¢·now 3.0¢·exp May 18, 2026$6.95
$-6.05
- NO
Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?
119 shares @ 7.5¢·now 5.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$6.06
$-2.94
- YES
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?
21 shares @ 47.0¢·now 25.5¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$5.43
$-4.57
- YES
Iran leadership change by May 31?
71 shares @ 7.0¢·now 7.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$5.36
$0.36
- YES
Iran closes its airspace by May 21?
36 shares @ 16.8¢·now 13.5¢·exp May 21, 2026$4.81
$-1.19
- YES
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?
37 shares @ 27.0¢·now 12.5¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$4.63
$-5.37
- YES
Will Trump say "Discombobulator" or "Discombobulated" in May?
21 shares @ 33.4¢·now 20.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$4.19
$-2.81
- YES
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?
11 shares @ 27.0¢·now 26.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.89
$-0.11
- YES
US strike on Mexico by December 31?
15 shares @ 13.0¢·now 18.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.77
$0.77
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 21?$5.00May 17, 22:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another country?$3.07May 17, 22:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in the United States?$3.01May 17, 22:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 18?$1.00May 17, 13:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 18?$5.00May 17, 00:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?$5.24May 16, 22:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by May 31?$1.04May 16, 20:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 18?$1.00May 16, 19:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Poland be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?$5.22May 16, 19:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Belgium be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?$1.05May 16, 19:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill United Kingdom be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?$1.05May 16, 19:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 18?$1.00May 16, 16:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 21?$1.00May 15, 21:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 15?$10.00May 15, 16:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 18?$5.00May 15, 16:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 15?$1.00May 15, 16:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 15?$1.00May 15, 16:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYXi meets with Iranian officials by May 15?$1.00May 15, 16:53 UTC
- REDEEMEpstein suicide note released by May 8?$0.00May 15, 07:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another country?$2.63May 14, 22:44 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $2.46
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 10, 00:20 UTC
- Last active
- May 17, 22:19 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".