Flashy-Den
0xf8f2c114d378811f99044470c289a4cf52e996cf
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
110
Open notional
$179.61
Total PnL
$-553.82
Realised
$-138.31
Win rate
44%
72 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 110- YES
Will Daylight launch a token by December 31, 2026?
53 shares @ 39.2¢·now 28.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$15.23
$-5.74
- YES
Will the Republican Party hold between 200 and 204 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
85 shares @ 10.8¢·now 11.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$9.72
$0.57
- YES
Will Silver (SI) settle at $80-$90 in June?
43 shares @ 10.0¢·now 21.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$9.32
$4.99
- NO
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.25% or lower before 2027?
12 shares @ 32.8¢·now 74.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$8.98
$5.00
- YES
Will Silver (SI) settle at >$115 in June?
110 shares @ 13.6¢·now 7.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$7.69
$-7.29
- YES
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?
131 shares @ 14.1¢·now 5.7¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$7.45
$-10.99
- YES
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
81 shares @ 5.6¢·now 8.6¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$6.91
$2.38
- YES
Will Goldman Sachs or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?
8 shares @ 14.0¢·now 81.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$6.76
$5.59
- YES
Will the S&P 500 have the best performance in 2026?
19 shares @ 10.0¢·now 34.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$6.69
$4.75
- YES
Will Mike Lindell win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election?
50 shares @ 14.0¢·now 13.0¢·exp Aug 11, 2026$6.52
$-0.50
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Daylight launch a token by December 31, 2026?$3.16Apr 22, 14:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Sandy Spidel Neumann be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Kansas?$2.05Apr 17, 23:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Sandy Spidel Neumann be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Kansas?$0.55Apr 17, 23:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Danielle Bethell win the 2026 Oregon Governor Republican primary election?$1.65Apr 17, 03:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Danielle Bethell win the 2026 Oregon Governor Republican primary election?$1.05Apr 17, 03:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Silver (SI) settle at $100-$115 in June?$3.12Apr 15, 18:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Silver (SI) settle at $100-$115 in June?$0.70Apr 14, 15:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Silver (SI) settle at $100-$115 in June?$0.50Apr 14, 15:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Silver (SI) settle at $100-$115 in June?$0.50Apr 14, 14:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia enter Sumy by June 30?$0.51Apr 14, 11:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Silver (SI) settle at $100-$115 in June?$0.18Apr 13, 13:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill inflation reach more than 3% in 2026?$6.28Apr 13, 10:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Vegas Golden Knights win the Pacific Division?$9.71Apr 12, 02:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Daylight launch a token by June 30, 2026?$2.67Apr 11, 12:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Exponent launch a token by June 30, 2026?$2.69Apr 10, 11:32 UTC
- TRADESELLUkraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?$12.00Apr 10, 09:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Exponent launch a token by June 30, 2026?$0.91Apr 10, 09:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Perena launch a token by December 31, 2026?$5.20Apr 10, 09:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Vegas Golden Knights win the Pacific Division?$0.87Apr 10, 03:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Vegas Golden Knights win the Pacific Division?$4.92Apr 10, 00:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $3.49
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 8, 11:46 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 22, 14:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 72 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".