Quick-Cardboard
0xf92a950992181e21874dd1b36c7e5666c443a517
Wallet digest
Activity score
84/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
23
Open notional
$103.9K
Total PnL
$-11.3K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 23- NO
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?
20296 shares @ 90.7¢·now 95.2¢·exp May 31, 2026$19.3K
$905.72
- YES
Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
17777 shares @ 92.0¢·now 86.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$15.4K
$-977.26
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
13500 shares @ 93.2¢·now 95.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$12.9K
$312.52
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?
11060 shares @ 97.1¢·now 98.7¢·exp May 31, 2026$10.9K
$174.25
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
11946 shares @ 77.6¢·now 82.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$9.9K
$586.64
- NO
Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Colombia's election?
9300 shares @ 90.8¢·now 94.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$8.8K
$340.26
- NO
Iran leadership change by May 31?
6000 shares @ 93.2¢·now 93.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$5.6K
$-10.00
- NO
Starmer out by May 19, 2026?
4034 shares @ 91.7¢·now 97.1¢·exp May 19, 2026$3.9K
$217.10
- NO
Will Russia capture Sumy by March 31, 2027?
4432 shares @ 85.0¢·now 83.5¢·exp Mar 31, 2027$3.7K
$-66.48
- YES
Will Robert Abela be the next Prime Minister of Malta following the 2026 Maltese general election?
3101 shares @ 92.3¢·now 94.5¢·exp May 30, 2026$2.9K
$69.27
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Colombia's election?$1.4KMay 17, 20:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by May 19, 2026?$199.53May 17, 15:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by May 19, 2026?$182.66May 17, 15:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by May 19, 2026?$188.45May 17, 15:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by May 19, 2026?$659.57May 17, 15:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Labour Party win the most seats in the House of Representatives in the 2026 Maltese general election?$475.38May 17, 15:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYMojtaba Khamenei seen in public by May 31?$109.62May 17, 12:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYMojtaba Khamenei seen in public by May 31?$410.33May 17, 12:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Labour Party win the most seats in the House of Representatives in the 2026 Maltese general election?$162.33May 17, 12:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Robert Abela be the next Prime Minister of Malta following the 2026 Maltese general election?$1.1KMay 17, 12:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Labour Party win the most seats in the House of Representatives in the 2026 Maltese general election?$411.53May 17, 12:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by May 19, 2026?$2.5KMay 17, 10:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by May 19, 2026?$10.81May 17, 10:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran leadership change by May 31?$1.9KMay 17, 10:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Colombia's election?$1.9KMay 17, 10:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iván Cepeda Castro win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$1.5KMay 17, 10:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill Keiko Fujimori finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$1.4KMay 17, 10:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump visit China by June 30?$15.4KMay 17, 10:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump visit China by May 31?$19.1KMay 17, 10:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$940.00May 11, 05:43 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $1.1K
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 1, 10:09 UTC
- Last active
- May 17, 20:09 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".