Constant-Bog
0xf948e3ee40b456b6a6144ecc9dc8d013c3a80931
Wallet digest
Activity score
82/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
12
Open notional
$2.7K
Total PnL
$97.25
Realised
$-16.05
Win rate
25%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- NO
Will Mohamed Salah be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 English Premier League season?
2110 shares @ 97.5¢·now 99.9¢·exp May 27, 2026$2.1K
$50.57
- YES
Will Bulgaria be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?
472 shares @ 88.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$471.81
$54.17
- NO
Will Denmark be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?
74 shares @ 85.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$73.78
$11.03
- NO
Will Malta be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?
64 shares @ 97.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$64.44
$1.93
- NO
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
46 shares @ 16.0¢·now 17.5¢·exp May 27, 2026$7.98
$0.68
- CRISTINA BUCSA
Internationaux de Strasbourg: Madison Keys vs Cristina Bucsa
19 shares @ 38.0¢·now 35.5¢·exp May 25, 2026$6.60
$-0.47
- YES
Will United Kingdom come in last place at Eurovision 2026?
6 shares @ 99.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$6.00
$0.06
- YES
Will Israel be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?
6 shares @ 97.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$5.99
$0.13
- YES
Will Italy be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?
4 shares @ 84.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$3.78
$0.60
- NO
Will Italy be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?
11 shares @ 35.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-3.79
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYInternationaux de Strasbourg: Madison Keys vs Cristina Bucsa$7.07May 17, 17:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill Denmark be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?$19.35May 17, 08:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bulgaria be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?$0.00May 17, 08:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill Croatia be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?$0.00May 17, 08:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill Australia be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?$47.74May 17, 08:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill Norway be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?$86.08May 17, 08:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill Belgium be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?$92.89May 17, 08:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill Israel be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?$192.56May 17, 08:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill Romania be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?$3.10May 17, 08:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ukraine be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?$0.00May 17, 08:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill Germany be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?$999.99May 17, 08:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ukraine be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?$5.79May 16, 23:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill United Kingdom come in last place at Eurovision 2026?$5.94May 16, 22:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bulgaria be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?$9.00May 16, 22:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bulgaria be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?$6.99May 16, 22:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bulgaria be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?$18.71May 16, 22:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bulgaria be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?$32.45May 16, 22:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bulgaria be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?$68.90May 16, 22:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bulgaria be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?$0.75May 16, 22:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bulgaria be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?$27.15May 16, 22:33 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $14.13
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 16, 21:06 UTC
- Last active
- May 17, 17:19 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".