Oval-Catastrophe
0xf95f94fe4d7550eab97135e81ca654217e73f988
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
29
Open notional
$6.5K
Total PnL
$2.6K
Realised
$-2.45
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 29- YES
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
1653 shares @ 44.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.7K
$913.07
- YES
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
2000 shares @ 8.9¢·now 69.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.4K
$1.2K
- YES
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
4103 shares @ 8.0¢·now 13.9¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$570.28
$240.29
- YES
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?
450 shares @ 17.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$450.00
$370.00
- YES
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
646 shares @ 11.2¢·now 64.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$415.63
$343.13
- NO
Named storm forms before hurricane season?
421 shares @ 62.5¢·now 87.3¢·exp May 31, 2026$367.44
$104.30
- YES
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to at least 60 years in prison?
1024 shares @ 48.8¢·now 34.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$353.17
$-146.58
- YES
Will the New England Patriots win the 2027 NFL league championship?
11000 shares @ 5.9¢·now 3.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2027$335.50
$-314.49
- YES
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
1598 shares @ 20.0¢·now 16.7¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$266.00
$-53.99
- YES
Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?
145 shares @ 69.0¢·now 92.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$134.06
$34.06
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.11May 18, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.11May 17, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.11May 16, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.11May 15, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.11May 14, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.11May 13, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.11May 12, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.12May 11, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.14May 10, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.15May 9, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.16May 8, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.15May 7, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.14May 6, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.14May 5, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.09May 4, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.10May 3, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.09May 2, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.12May 1, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.12Apr 30, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.15Apr 29, 00:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 18
- Avg trade size
- $5.29
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 16, 16:24 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".