Carefree-Sauce
0xf963af2a952dfe8becca78ec63c888dd967055e4
Wallet digest
Activity score
90/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
20
Open notional
$2.3K
Total PnL
$12.89
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 20- NO
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C or below on May 17?
485 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 17, 2026$485.00
$1.45
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 13°C or below on May 17?
300 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 17, 2026$300.30
$0.30
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on May 17?
300 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 17, 2026$300.00
$0.90
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 11°C or below on May 17?
200 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 17, 2026$200.40
$0.40
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 17°C or below on May 17?
200 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 17, 2026$200.40
$0.40
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on May 17?
200 shares @ 99.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 17, 2026$200.00
$1.00
- NO
Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on May 17?
200 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 17, 2026$199.99
$0.60
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C or higher on May 17?
156 shares @ 99.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 17, 2026$156.37
$0.88
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 12°C on May 17?
100 shares @ 99.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 17, 2026$100.40
$0.40
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on May 17?
88 shares @ 99.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 17, 2026$88.34
$0.53
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Dumbocrat" or "Dumocrat" this week?$2.62May 18, 05:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Jeddah be 37°C or higher on May 17?$5.95May 17, 21:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 10°C or below on May 18?$100.00May 17, 21:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on May 19?$143.99May 17, 21:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 18°C on May 19?$75.06May 17, 21:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 18°C or below on May 18?$200.01May 17, 21:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Helsinki be 14°C on May 18?$56.19May 17, 21:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 10°C or below on May 18?$200.01May 17, 21:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 21°C or below on May 18?$65.84May 17, 21:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 26°C on May 17?$1.08May 17, 21:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Chicago be 64°F or higher on May 17?$184.00May 17, 21:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 52-53°F on May 17?$200.20May 17, 21:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 54-55°F on May 17?$200.20May 17, 21:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 18°C on May 18?$98.95May 17, 21:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 22°C on May 18?$183.24May 17, 21:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 23°C on May 18?$148.99May 17, 21:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 9°C or below on May 17?$200.20May 17, 21:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on May 17?$29.54May 17, 21:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Austin be between 70-71°F on May 17?$202.98May 17, 21:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 29°C on May 19?$22.89May 17, 21:31 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $79.82
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 17, 19:01 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 05:19 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".