Orange-Skullduggery
0xf9fe14515b96c418ef5c9f6bb835ea74e0d4d54e
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
19
Open notional
$491.27
Total PnL
$41.06
Realised
$61.10
Win rate
100%
6 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 19- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
279 shares @ 89.6¢·now 87.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$243.86
$-5.92
- YES
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?
130 shares @ 24.9¢·now 22.5¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$29.25
$-3.15
- YES
Will Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election?
860 shares @ 4.4¢·now 3.3¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$27.95
$-10.24
- YES
Will Sarah Knafo win the 2027 French presidential election?
1292 shares @ 2.4¢·now 2.1¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$26.49
$-4.96
- YES
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?
210 shares @ 8.7¢·now 10.5¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$22.05
$3.85
- YES
Will Europe win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
30 shares @ 72.0¢·now 71.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$21.45
$-0.15
- NO
Will a team from LEC (Europe / EMEA) win LoL Worlds 2026?
20 shares @ 89.4¢·now 95.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$19.06
$1.18
- NO
US strike on Mexico by December 31?
20 shares @ 75.0¢·now 82.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$16.40
$1.40
- NO
Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027?
20 shares @ 44.0¢·now 69.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$13.90
$5.10
- YES
Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election?
400 shares @ 4.0¢·now 3.3¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$13.20
$-2.80
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Valve remove Overpass from the Map Pool?$0.03May 17, 08:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill a team from LCS (North America) win LoL Worlds 2026?$4.79May 16, 10:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Valve remove Overpass from the Map Pool?$4.74May 16, 09:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Valve remove Overpass from the Map Pool?$0.30May 16, 07:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Valve remove Overpass from the Map Pool?$2.16May 16, 07:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a team from LCP (Asia-Pacific) win LoL Worlds 2026?$0.08May 14, 23:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sarah Knafo win the 2027 French presidential election?$18.90May 10, 19:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a team from LCP (Asia-Pacific) win LoL Worlds 2026?$0.02May 9, 17:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Valve remove Dust 2 from the Map Pool?$7.92May 8, 23:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a team from LCP (Asia-Pacific) win LoL Worlds 2026?$0.02May 8, 21:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Valve remove Dust 2 from the Map Pool?$2.00May 8, 18:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?$4.43May 8, 01:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?$4.18May 7, 20:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?$0.40May 7, 18:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?$2.18May 7, 18:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Juan Branco win the 2027 French presidential election?$22.71May 7, 16:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Valve remove Dust 2 from the Map Pool?$0.52May 7, 14:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Valve remove Dust 2 from the Map Pool?$4.13May 7, 03:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a team from LCP (Asia-Pacific) win LoL Worlds 2026?$0.06May 6, 16:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a team from LCP (Asia-Pacific) win LoL Worlds 2026?$0.06May 6, 03:27 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $5.53
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 13, 11:10 UTC
- Last active
- May 17, 08:54 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".