Alert-Something
0xfa3f9b9ab59fbaaabc73f7c95b5198289d4f6e13
Wallet digest
Activity score
65/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
16
Open notional
$1.9K
Total PnL
$-551.80
Realised
$280.65
Win rate
25%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 16- ANTHROPIC
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?
1396 shares @ 56.2¢·now 68.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$956.26
$172.07
- NO
Will the Pheu Thai Party (PT) win 110 or more seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?
409 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$408.80
$0.20
- MIAMI MARLINS
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Miami Marlins
695 shares @ 49.0¢·now 50.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$347.50
$6.95
- NO
Will Iran strike Ras Tanura by April 30?
185 shares @ 77.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$185.00
$42.55
- NO
Will the Los Angeles Kings win the Pacific Division?
3 shares @ 88.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$2.65
$0.32
- NO
Will Charles McCall win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election?
2 shares @ 71.0¢·now 86.5¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$1.73
$0.31
- YES
Will Tom Sell be the Republican Nominee for TX-19?
1 shares @ 50.0¢·now 98.6¢·exp May 26, 2026$0.99
$0.49
- NO
NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027?
1 shares @ 77.0¢·now 77.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.78
$0.01
- YES
Will NYC have less than 2 inches of precipitation in April?
1240 shares @ 45.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-560.48
- DOWN
XRP Up or Down - February 18, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET
552 shares @ 52.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 18, 2026$0.00
$-291.20
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill there be exactly 11 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?$67.56Apr 27, 08:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill MetaMask launch a token by December 31, 2026?$590.04Apr 27, 07:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MetaMask launch a token by December 31, 2026?$607.92Apr 23, 10:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NYC have less than 2 inches of precipitation in April?$298.32Apr 23, 09:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NYC have less than 2 inches of precipitation in April?$262.16Apr 23, 09:16 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael strike on Yemen by April 30, 2026?$330.48Apr 13, 10:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) hit $2.75 (HIGH) by April 30, 2026?$533.52Apr 13, 10:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Cardiff City FC win on 2026-03-28?$298.76Apr 13, 09:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Cardiff City FC win on 2026-03-28?$5.28Apr 13, 09:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran strike Ras Tanura by April 30?$142.45Apr 13, 08:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Cardiff City FC win on 2026-03-28?$289.38Apr 13, 07:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Cardiff City FC win on 2026-03-28?$0.84Apr 13, 07:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael strike on Yemen by April 30, 2026?$312.12Apr 13, 07:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be exactly 11 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?$84.45Apr 13, 07:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYSt. Louis Cardinals vs. Miami Marlins$340.55Apr 13, 06:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) hit $2.75 (HIGH) by April 30, 2026?$629.85Apr 13, 06:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill Hezbollah disarm by March 31?$206.00Apr 13, 04:12 UTC
- REDEEMGeorgia College & State Bobcats vs. South Florida Bulls$382.00Apr 13, 04:12 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by June 30?$237.14Apr 11, 23:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jeff Bezos be 2nd richest person on December 31?$355.87Apr 11, 07:32 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $288.48
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 22, 06:18 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 27, 08:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".