Burdensome-Upward
0xfa7d856425fb1e763b54219bb994d2054ab8a524
Wallet digest
Activity score
81/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$195.92
Total PnL
$-4.2K
Realised
$35.57
Win rate
69%
13 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?
143 shares @ 70.0¢·now 63.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$90.71
$-9.29
- YES
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?
6794 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.5¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$37.37
$-26.63
- YES
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
202 shares @ 12.4¢·now 13.9¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$28.02
$3.02
- YES
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
86 shares @ 23.1¢·now 25.4¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$21.92
$1.92
- YES
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
95 shares @ 21.0¢·now 12.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$11.90
$-8.10
- YES
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?
24 shares @ 21.0¢·now 11.5¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$2.74
$-2.26
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
128 shares @ 3.9¢·now 1.1¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$1.35
$-3.65
- YES
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?
30 shares @ 10.0¢·now 4.5¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$1.33
$-1.67
- YES
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?
40 shares @ 5.0¢·now 1.5¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$0.58
$-1.42
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET
11269 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 21, 2026$0.00
$-90.76
Recent activity
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - May 18, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET$443.25May 18, 12:00 UTC
- REDEEMXRP Up or Down - May 18, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET$2.00May 18, 12:00 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET$5.00May 18, 12:00 UTC
- TRADESELLXRP Up or Down - May 18, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET$6.90May 18, 11:40 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET$15.59May 18, 11:40 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - May 18, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET$6.56May 18, 11:39 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET$13.05May 18, 11:00 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET$143.80May 18, 11:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET$40.10May 18, 10:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET$44.45May 18, 10:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6AM ET$3.48May 18, 10:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET$6.75May 18, 10:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET$14.66May 18, 10:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6AM ET$4.33May 18, 10:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - May 18, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET$4.87May 18, 09:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - May 18, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET$210.65May 18, 09:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET$6.96May 18, 08:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET$4.67May 18, 08:22 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET$2.00May 18, 08:00 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - May 18, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET$300.00May 18, 08:00 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $34.62
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 17, 23:30 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 12:00 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 13 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".