Forked-Chive
0xfadeac30d08d0910835c6871bdfd141cef3368cf
Wallet digest
Activity score
65/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
42
Open notional
$609.54
Total PnL
$-2.3K
Realised
$-11.65
Win rate
33%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 42- NO
No one announced as next James Bond?
954 shares @ 36.5¢·now 25.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$238.40
$-109.97
- NO
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
836 shares @ 16.0¢·now 22.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$188.10
$54.34
- YES
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
1574 shares @ 1.6¢·now 6.7¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$104.67
$79.49
- YES
Will Al Carns be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
1336 shares @ 1.3¢·now 2.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$31.40
$13.94
- NO
Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election
112 shares @ 17.0¢·now 21.5¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$24.08
$5.04
- YES
Will Microsoft acquire TikTok?
314 shares @ 3.9¢·now 2.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$7.85
$-4.48
- YES
Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
297 shares @ 8.3¢·now 1.7¢·exp Dec 6, 2026$4.90
$-19.71
- YES
Will Freecs win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?
473 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.60
$-1.66
- YES
Will Meta acquire TikTok?
189 shares @ 3.7¢·now 1.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.45
$-4.50
- YES
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $STAR?
1326 shares @ 13.5¢·now 0.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$1.99
$-176.44
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.03May 18, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.03May 17, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.03May 16, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Microsoft acquire TikTok?$2.62May 15, 13:02 UTC
- YIELD$0.03May 15, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.03May 14, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk / X (Twitter) acquire TikTok?$0.76May 13, 20:31 UTC
- YIELD$0.03May 13, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk / X (Twitter) acquire TikTok?$0.08May 12, 17:04 UTC
- YIELD$0.03May 12, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk / X (Twitter) acquire TikTok?$0.89May 11, 20:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk / X (Twitter) acquire TikTok?$1.00May 11, 20:36 UTC
- YIELD$0.03May 11, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.03May 10, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.03May 9, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.03May 8, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.03May 7, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.03May 6, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.03May 5, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 4, 00:13 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 14
- Avg trade size
- $13.86
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 12, 09:56 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".