Sad-Avalanche
0xfb157e2c71167d2f13fdc114c2733d56d1fa1038
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$467.01
Total PnL
$-2.0K
Realised
$-14.27
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,000 by end of June?
581 shares @ 54.1¢·now 77.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$450.64
$136.19
- YES
Will Earl Carter be the Republican nominee for Senate in Georgia?
819 shares @ 12.1¢·now 2.0¢·exp May 19, 2026$16.38
$-82.44
- NO
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?
1953 shares @ 88.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 15, 2026$0.00
$-1.7K
- NO
Houthi strike on Israel by April 15, 2026?
494 shares @ 57.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-281.45
- NO
Will Iran strike Lebanon in March?
291 shares @ 17.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 7, 2026$0.00
$-49.82
- NO
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?
133 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-8.00
- YES
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?
73 shares @ 41.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-30.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,000 by end of June?$320.23May 7, 05:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Earl Carter be the Republican nominee for Senate in Georgia?$20.34Apr 29, 06:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?$242.53Apr 29, 05:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Earl Carter be the Republican nominee for Senate in Georgia?$58.21Apr 29, 05:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?$223.44Apr 24, 09:05 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran ceasefire by April 30?$98.04Apr 16, 06:22 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran ceasefire by April 30?$125.35Apr 7, 22:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire by April 15?$1.7KApr 6, 17:44 UTC
- TRADESELLUS forces enter Iran by April 30?$65.09Apr 3, 12:48 UTC
- TRADESELLUS forces enter Iran by April 30?$674.87Apr 3, 11:23 UTC
- TRADESELLUS forces enter Iran by April 30?$169.55Apr 3, 11:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYHouthi strike on Israel by April 15, 2026?$140.00Mar 30, 11:25 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael strike on Yemen by March 31, 2026?$949.54Mar 30, 10:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYHouthi strike on Israel by April 15, 2026?$141.45Mar 30, 08:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia capture Bilytske by April 30, 2026?$141.46Mar 30, 06:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael strike on Yemen by March 31, 2026?$725.49Mar 29, 06:46 UTC
- TRADESELLUS forces enter Iran by March 31?$725.48Mar 29, 06:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran strike Lebanon in March?$49.82Mar 24, 13:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia capture Bilytske by April 30, 2026?$49.82Mar 24, 13:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS forces enter Iran by April 30?$21.13Mar 24, 07:31 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $239.42
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 2, 21:22 UTC
- Last active
- May 7, 05:40 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".