Nippy-South
0xfb18cf60586ea2bbd38b1a8ba417f950c1bcfb50
Wallet digest
Activity score
59/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$14.45
Total PnL
$-12.55
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
12 shares @ 43.0¢·now 39.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.59
$-0.41
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
5 shares @ 65.0¢·now 96.3¢·exp May 31, 2026$4.44
$1.44
- NO
Will Kanye West visit Israel by June 30?
2 shares @ 85.0¢·now 94.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.21
$0.21
- YES
Israel election: will Likud lose seats?
2 shares @ 94.0¢·now 79.5¢·exp Oct 27, 2026$1.69
$-0.31
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
1 shares @ 74.0¢·now 92.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$1.25
$0.25
- YES
Will JUUL relaunch Mango flavor by 2027?
1 shares @ 97.0¢·now 25.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.26
$-0.74
- NO
Will Trump visit China by May 15?
42 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Trump say "Crypto / Bitcoin" during King Charles visit?
8 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Trump say "Immigration" or "Immigrant" during King Charles visit?
8 shares @ 66.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Anna Wintour be on Vogue's Best-Dressed list?
4 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 4, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Khamenei post 0-4 posts from May 5 to May 12, 2026?$1.00May 16, 19:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill JUUL relaunch Mango flavor by 2027?$1.00May 12, 14:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Khamenei post 0-4 posts from May 5 to May 12, 2026?$1.00May 12, 14:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael election: will Likud lose seats?$2.00May 5, 19:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump visit China by May 15?$5.18May 3, 14:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kanye West visit Israel by June 30?$2.01May 2, 20:46 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?$5.01May 2, 18:29 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?$1.01May 2, 18:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?$1.02May 2, 18:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anna Wintour be on Vogue's Best-Dressed list?$2.05Apr 30, 19:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026?$4.95Apr 29, 14:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$3.00Apr 29, 10:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Crypto / Bitcoin" during King Charles visit?$1.04Apr 28, 20:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?$5.00Apr 28, 15:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$5.00Apr 28, 15:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Immigration" or "Immigrant" during King Charles visit?$5.00Apr 28, 05:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$1.00Apr 27, 19:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?$1.00Apr 27, 19:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?$1.00Apr 27, 19:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026?$5.00Apr 27, 18:49 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 16
- Avg trade size
- $2.83
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 27, 18:49 UTC
- Last active
- May 16, 19:49 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".