Wretched-Consensus
0xfb90e61710057da2a76286fb1fd84df40f6b0686
Wallet digest
Activity score
73/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
14
Open notional
$207.30
Total PnL
$-2.8K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- YES
Will Trump be impeached before his term ends?
116 shares @ 67.3¢·now 64.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2029$74.19
$-3.89
- YES
SCOTUS lets Trump fire FTC commissioners in Trump v. Slaughter?
65 shares @ 94.8¢·now 83.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$54.40
$-7.38
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
52 shares @ 83.0¢·now 87.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$45.73
$2.35
- NO
Anthropic CEO arrested?
17 shares @ 95.7¢·now 99.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$17.00
$0.56
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
17 shares @ 62.0¢·now 95.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$15.97
$5.60
- YES
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
5843 shares @ 39.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2024$0.00
$-2.3K
- YES
Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?
352 shares @ 64.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-224.92
- YES
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
254 shares @ 38.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-97.46
- PATRIOTS
Seahawks vs. Patriots
140 shares @ 30.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$0.00
$-42.90
- NO
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?
66 shares @ 30.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-19.84
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Trump be impeached before his term ends?$78.08Apr 7, 21:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYSCOTUS lets Trump fire FTC commissioners in Trump v. Slaughter?$61.78Apr 2, 13:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Iranian regime fall by March 31?$0.00Apr 2, 13:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Iranian regime fall by March 31?$8.57Apr 2, 13:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by March 31?$7.47Mar 6, 04:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYAnthropic CEO arrested?$16.44Mar 6, 04:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$10.37Mar 6, 04:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?$19.84Mar 6, 04:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?$43.38Mar 6, 04:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS forces enter Iran by March 31?$97.46Mar 6, 04:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYSeahawks vs. Patriots$2.71Feb 9, 02:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYSeahawks vs. Patriots$40.19Feb 8, 20:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?$46.78Jan 26, 01:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Golden (Ejae and Mark Sonnenblick) win Song of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?$26.85Jan 26, 01:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sinners win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?$9.73Jan 26, 01:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYRams vs. Seahawks$29.40Jan 24, 15:15 UTC
- REDEEMNuclear weapon detonation in 2025?$197.74Jan 24, 15:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYNuclear weapon detonation in 2025?$170.52Jun 13, 15:16 UTC
- TRADESELLNuclear weapon detonation in 2025?$170.53Jun 13, 15:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYNuclear weapon detonation in 2025?$301.70Jun 13, 15:15 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 27
- Avg trade size
- $166.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 16, 17:59 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 7, 21:58 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".