Deficient-Edition
0xfb9502afef185d1e02abdfe515ae7fa3bb250d2f
Wallet digest
Activity score
65/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
43
Open notional
$146.48
Total PnL
$-155.53
Realised
$-5.78
Win rate
33%
6 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 43- NO
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
70 shares @ 66.3¢·now 79.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$55.30
$8.90
- NO
Abstract FDV above $3B one day after launch?
20 shares @ 93.1¢·now 97.9¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$19.57
$0.95
- YES
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
21 shares @ 35.5¢·now 64.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$13.36
$6.01
- NO
Ethereal FDV above $2B one day after launch?
10 shares @ 95.2¢·now 97.8¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$10.04
$0.27
- YES
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.25% or lower before 2027?
37 shares @ 61.1¢·now 27.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$9.94
$-12.55
- NO
Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting?
10 shares @ 19.0¢·now 95.0¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$9.50
$7.60
- NO
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
5 shares @ 89.0¢·now 97.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.07
$0.44
- YES
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,200 (LOW) in December?
10 shares @ 43.0¢·now 39.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.91
$-0.39
- YES
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
12 shares @ 25.3¢·now 24.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$2.92
$-0.11
- YES
Fed rate cut by October 2026 meeting?
10 shares @ 82.0¢·now 20.6¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$2.06
$-6.14
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00May 17, 00:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$8.83May 9, 10:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$10.96May 9, 10:46 UTC
- TRADESELLMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?$12.06May 9, 10:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,200 (LOW) in December?$4.30May 8, 17:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 5, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $184 in May?$2.55May 4, 08:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$5.90May 3, 08:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,300 (LOW) in June?$2.00May 3, 06:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$6.29May 3, 06:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$6.70May 2, 21:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYGRVT FDV above $800M one day after launch?$0.75May 2, 14:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$2.08May 2, 10:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$6.99May 2, 10:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$6.99May 2, 10:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$13.97May 2, 10:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $184 in May?$2.65May 2, 10:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$7.82May 1, 09:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$6.99May 1, 09:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $200 end of April?$20.00May 1, 09:36 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $6.55
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 23, 02:02 UTC
- Last active
- May 17, 00:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".