0xfb9d38cac5c3b0936413b78f30664d3c224bd78e
0xfb9d38cac5c3b0936413b78f30664d3c224bd78e
Wallet digest
Activity score
89/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
151
Open notional
$6.0K
Total PnL
$-120.41
Realised
$2.14
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 151- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?
2083 shares @ 41.8¢·now 51.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$1.1K
$202.08
- YES
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
2041 shares @ 40.7¢·now 44.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$908.30
$76.95
- YES
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
460 shares @ 56.8¢·now 72.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$333.37
$72.36
- YES
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
1166 shares @ 31.1¢·now 20.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$239.09
$-123.58
- YES
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
419 shares @ 25.0¢·now 50.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$211.38
$106.83
- NO
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
651 shares @ 61.0¢·now 27.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$178.83
$-218.29
- NO
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?
308 shares @ 23.2¢·now 43.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$133.90
$62.50
- NO
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
234 shares @ 42.8¢·now 49.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$115.68
$15.68
- NO
Will Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
503 shares @ 42.7¢·now 22.5¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$113.08
$-101.34
- NO
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
135 shares @ 66.0¢·now 79.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$107.54
$18.24
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.01May 18, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?$16.58May 17, 23:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?$46.26May 17, 23:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$9.20May 17, 22:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$5.48May 17, 22:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$39.68May 17, 22:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$3.70May 17, 22:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$5.06May 17, 22:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$7.08May 17, 22:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by December 31, 2026?$4.80May 17, 07:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by June 30, 2026?$8.11May 17, 04:18 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 17, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Denmark be the best Nordic country at Eurovision 2026?$1.88May 16, 16:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Australia win Eurovision 2026?$10.73May 16, 16:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Greece win Eurovision 2026?$1.11May 16, 16:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Germany win Group E in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$18.24May 16, 09:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MetaMask launch a token by September 30, 2026?$1.13May 16, 08:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?$21.44May 16, 07:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by June 30, 2026?$3.83May 16, 06:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?$3.88May 16, 06:05 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $13.77
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 13, 21:21 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".