Unrealistic-Secretary
0xfbce50ee50e56c5a82fb923a498d6cdd43f730be
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
14
Open notional
$2.9K
Total PnL
$-4.1K
Realised
$-215.66
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- YES
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?
979 shares @ 61.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$978.87
$378.87
- YES
Will Mette Frederiksen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?
1138 shares @ 87.9¢·now 73.5¢·exp Mar 24, 2026$836.50
$-163.49
- NO
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?
625 shares @ 64.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$625.00
$225.00
- YES
Will there be at least 10000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
1580 shares @ 31.7¢·now 8.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$129.57
$-370.69
- YES
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?
5967 shares @ 16.8¢·now 2.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$119.34
$-880.65
- YES
NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027?
427 shares @ 23.4¢·now 22.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$96.06
$-3.94
- YES
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?
571 shares @ 35.0¢·now 11.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$65.71
$-134.29
- YES
Will there be at least 12500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
466 shares @ 21.5¢·now 4.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$20.97
$-79.03
- YES
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?
1971 shares @ 60.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.2K
- NO
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April?
1781 shares @ 43.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-782.05
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$2.2KApr 8, 11:18 UTC
- TRADESELLTrump announces Hormuz deadline extension today?$408.88Apr 7, 22:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump announces Hormuz deadline extension today?$200.00Apr 7, 17:50 UTC
- TRADESELLKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?$1.0KApr 7, 15:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?$100.00Apr 7, 14:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$4.0KApr 7, 11:33 UTC
- TRADESELLUS forces enter Iran by April 30?$4.3KApr 7, 11:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April?$800.00Apr 7, 10:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$500.00Apr 6, 20:50 UTC
- REDEEMUS-Iran nuclear deal in 2025?$0.00Apr 5, 12:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Iranian regime fall in 2025?$0.00Apr 5, 12:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?$0.00Apr 5, 12:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June?$1.3KApr 3, 18:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS forces enter Iran by April 30?$2.0KApr 2, 21:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS forces enter Iran by April 30?$800.00Apr 1, 19:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?$400.00Mar 28, 16:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?$1.1KMar 27, 21:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mette Frederiksen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?$1000.00Mar 26, 17:14 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran ceasefire by April 30?$123.33Mar 25, 21:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?$1.1KMar 24, 17:22 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $861.44
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 23, 19:12 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 8, 11:18 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".