Which-Trade
0xfbdf9f72b58d5712c98b46de87a944b520693256
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
30
Open notional
$4.2K
Total PnL
$2.8K
Realised
$4.1K
Win rate
57%
14 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 30- YES
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House
6697 shares @ 21.4¢·now 33.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$2.2K
$811.41
- NO
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House
1000 shares @ 82.2¢·now 78.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$785.00
$-36.50
- NO
Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
200 shares @ 74.0¢·now 74.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$148.98
$1.00
- YES
2026 Balance of Power: Other
12054 shares @ 19.5¢·now 0.9¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$102.46
$-2.2K
- YES
Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?
120 shares @ 79.2¢·now 79.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$95.40
$0.40
- NO
Xi Jinping out before 2027?
100 shares @ 91.7¢·now 93.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$93.45
$1.75
- NO
Will the Republicans win the Colorado Senate race in 2026?
100 shares @ 90.0¢·now 91.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$91.50
$1.50
- YES
Will the Democrats win the Colorado Senate race in 2026?
100 shares @ 91.0¢·now 91.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$91.50
$0.50
- YES
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
200 shares @ 20.0¢·now 44.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$89.00
$49.00
- YES
Will the Republicans win the Florida Senate race in 2026?
80 shares @ 79.0¢·now 79.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$63.52
$0.40
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.37May 18, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.37May 17, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Republicans win the Florida Senate race in 2026?$63.12May 16, 17:45 UTC
- YIELD$0.37May 16, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.36May 15, 00:12 UTC
- MERGEWill Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?$10.50May 14, 17:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?$36.50May 14, 17:45 UTC
- YIELD$0.36May 14, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Republicans win the Colorado Senate race in 2026?$80.55May 13, 23:49 UTC
- YIELD$0.36May 13, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Democrats win the Oregon Senate race in 2026?$31.15May 12, 06:59 UTC
- YIELD$0.37May 12, 00:13 UTC
- MERGE2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House$200.00May 11, 05:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.38May 11, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUY2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House$91.13May 10, 12:23 UTC
- TRADEBUY2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House$104.27May 10, 05:22 UTC
- YIELD$0.36May 10, 00:13 UTC
- CONVERSIONBalance of Power: 2026 Midterms$200.00May 9, 21:20 UTC
- TRADEBUY2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House$80.57May 9, 18:50 UTC
- TRADEBUY2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House$52.81May 9, 18:49 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 29
- Avg trade size
- $100.06
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 6, 08:42 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 14 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".